Kansas City Royals at Miami Marlins Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 9/6/2019

Friday, September 6, 2019

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jorge Lopez vs. Pablo Lopez

Marlins Park is the venue where Garrett Cooper and the Miami Marlins (49-89, 5th in NL East) will take on the Kansas City Royals (51-89, 4th in AL Central) on Friday. The Royals open this game at +110 while the Marlins are coming in at -130. The total opens at 8.5.

The Royals have been pretty good for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 51-89-0 SU. Miami covers 35.5% of the time, going 49-89-0 straight up.

Valuable Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Royals have been a good Over bet for over/under wagerers, having gone 69-65-6.

Kansas City covers 32.4% of the time as a visitor, having gone 22-46-0 straight up.

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

Miami covers 39.4% of the time at Marlins Park, going 28-43-0 SU.

The Marlins have been a good Over bet for over/under wagerers, having gone 65-64-9.

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Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

9/3/2019 Jake Newberry RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
8/29/2019 Brad Keller SP Rest Out for the season
8/16/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/4/2019 Cesar Puello CF Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
9/3/2019 Brian Anderson 3B Finger Out for the season
9/3/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
9/3/2019 Austin Brice RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
9/1/2019 JT Riddle CF Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
8/28/2019 Jordan Yamamoto SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/26/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/8/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Royals have a 51-89 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jorge Lopez has a 2-7 record with an earned run average of 6.61 and a WHIP of 1.51 this season. He has 95 strikeouts over his 98 innings pitched and he's given up 110 hits. He's allowed 10.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.44. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.05 and they have given up 518 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .273 against the bullpen and they've struck out 450 hitters and walked 218 batters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.14. The Royals pitchers collectively have given up 1,322 base hits and 705 earned runs. They have allowed 187 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Kansas City as a pitching staff has walked 494 batters and struck out 1,065. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 4.84.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Kansas City is hitting .244, good for 24th in the league. The Royals hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Whit Merrifield is hitting .302 with an on-base percentage of .350. He has 177 hits this season in 587 at bats with 69 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .472 and an OPS+ of 114. Hunter Dozier is hitting .282 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .356. He has totaled 124 hits and he has driven in 77 men in 440 at bats. His OPS+ is 132 while his slugging percentage is at .543. The Royals have 1,160 hits, including 236 doubles and 142 home runs. Kansas City has walked 399 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,174 times as a unit. They have left 904 men on base and have a team OPS of .707. They score 4.28 runs per contest and have scored a total of 599 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 49-89 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.89, Pablo Lopez has a 5-7 record and a 1.16 WHIP. He has 77 strikeouts over the 84.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 79 hits. He's allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.2. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.05 and they have given up 454 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 480 batters and walked 225 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.77. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,122 base knocks and 650 earned runs this season. They have given up 208 home runs this year, which ranks 8th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 525 hitters and struck out 1,179 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.97.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .239, good for 29th in the league. The Marlins hold a .369 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Garrett Cooper comes into this matchup batting .276 with an OBP of .342. He has 97 hits this year along with 48 RBI in 351 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .444 with an OPS+ of 107. Starlin Castro is hitting .272 this season and he has an OBP of .295. He has collected 148 hits in 545 at bats while driving in 74 runs. He has an OPS+ of 87 and a slugging percentage of .420. The Marlins as a unit have 1,114 base hits, including 221 doubles and 122 homers. Miami has walked 329 times this year and they have struck out on 1,267 occasions. They have had 876 men left on base and have an OPS of .665. They have scored 3.71 runs per game and totaled 512 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Royals/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Royals (+110)

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