Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 6/14/2019
Friday, June 14, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Brad Keller vs. Kyle Gibson
Target Field is the venue where Eddie Rosario and the Minnesota Twins (44-22, 1st in AL Central) will take on the Kansas City Royals (21-46, 5th in AL Central) on Friday. The Twins open this contest at -190 while the Royals are priced at +178. The over/under opens at 9.5.
The Royals have been very good for Las Vegas oddsmakers oddsmakers, having gone 21-46-0 SU. The Twins cover 66.7% of the time, going 44-22-0 straight up. The Twins have been very good for wagerers as favorites, going 28-12-0 SU. Kansas City covers 28.1% of the time as the underdog, having gone 16-41-0 straight up.
Valuable Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
The Royals have been a less than ideal Under choice for over/under bettors, having gone 32-31-4.
Kansas City covers 25.8% of the time as a visitor, having gone 8-23-0 straight up.
Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Twins cover 66.7% of the time at Target Field, going 20-10-0 SU.
The Twins have been an excellent Over choice for over/under bettors, having gone 36-27-3.
Key Kansas City Royals Injuries
6/12/2019 Lucas Duda DH Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
6/12/2019 Hunter Dozier 3B Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/10/2019 Jesse Hahn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
3/28/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season
Key Minnesota Twins Injuries
6/1/2019 Adalberto Mejia RP Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 20
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Royals have a 21-46 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Brad Keller has a 3-8 record with an earned run average of 4.29 and a WHIP of 1.38 this season. He has 58 strikeouts over his 86 innings pitched and he's given up 76 hits. He's allowed 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.15. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.81 and they have given up 234 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .261 against the bullpen and they've struck out 228 hitters and walked 105 batters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.13. The Royals pitchers collectively have given up 604 base hits and 335 earned runs. They have allowed 78 home runs this season, ranking them 26th in the league. Kansas City as a pitching staff has walked 248 batters and struck out 518. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 4.56.
As a team Kansas City is hitting .244, good for 20th in the league. The Royals hold a .404 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Adalberto Mondesi is hitting .283 with an on-base percentage of .315. He has 76 hits this season in 269 at bats with 44 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .468 and an OPS+ of 107. Whit Merrifield is hitting .292 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .343. He has totaled 81 hits and he has driven in 29 men in 277 at bats. His OPS+ is 118 while his slugging percentage is at .477. The Royals have 551 hits, including 110 doubles and 67 home runs. Kansas City has walked 197 times so far this season and they have struck out 589 times as a unit. They have left 442 men on base and have a team OPS of .713. They score 4.13 runs per contest and have scored a total of 277 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Minnesota has a 44-22 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.14, Kyle Gibson has a 6-3 record and a 1.28 WHIP. He has 71 strikeouts over the 67.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 69 hits. He's allowing 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.1. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.73 and they have given up 211 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 223 batters and walked 87 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 557 base knocks and 259 earned runs this season. They have given up 83 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 186 hitters and struck out 576 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 4.10.
As a team, they are batting .274, good for 1st in the league. The Twins hold a .516 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.5 hits per contest. Eddie Rosario comes into this matchup batting .267 with an OBP of .300. He has 68 hits this year along with 52 RBI in 255 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .533 with an OPS+ of 118. Jorge Polanco is hitting .339 this season and he has an OBP of .398. He has collected 86 hits in 254 at bats while driving in 35 runs. He has an OPS+ of 159 and a slugging percentage of .575. The Twins as a unit have 626 base hits, including 145 doubles and 130 homers. Minnesota has walked 203 times this year and they have struck out on 513 occasions. They have had 432 men left on base and have an OPS of .856. They have scored 5.97 runs per game and totaled 394 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Royals/Twins MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Royals +178
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