Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 6/16/2019

Sunday, June 16, 2019

Target Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jakob Junis vs. Martin Perez

Eddie Rosario and the Minnesota Twins (46-22, 1st in AL Central) host the Kansas City Royals (22-47, 5th in AL Central) at Target Field on Sunday, June 16, 2019. The Royals open this contest at +166 while the Twins are coming in at -176. The total opens at 9.5.

The Royals have been terrible for bettors, having gone 22-47-0 SU. The Twins cover 67.7% of the time, going 46-22-0 straight up. The Twins have been an excellent option for baseball bettors as the favorite, going 30-12-0 SU. Kansas City covers 28.8% of the time as the underdog, having gone 17-42-0 straight up.

Valuable Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Royals have been a hot and cold Under choice for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 33-32-4.

Kansas City covers 25.0% of the time as the away team, having gone 8-24-0 straight up.

Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Twins cover 68.8% of the time at Target Field, going 22-10-0 SU.

The Twins have been a terrible Under choice for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 37-28-3.

Related: MLB Baseball First Five Innings Betting Strategy

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

6/12/2019 Hunter Dozier 3B Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/10/2019 Jesse Hahn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
3/28/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

6/14/2019 Byron Buxton CF Wrist Probable for Jun 15
6/1/2019 Adalberto Mejia RP Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 20

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Royals have a 22-47 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jakob Junis has a 4-6 record with an earned run average of 5.35 and a WHIP of 1.43 this season. He has 71 strikeouts over his 79 innings pitched and he's given up 85 hits. He's allowed 9.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.84. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.92 and they have given up 240 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the bullpen and they've struck out 231 hitters and walked 108 batters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.06. The Royals pitchers collectively have given up 615 base hits and 340 earned runs. They have allowed 79 home runs this season, ranking them 27th in the league. Kansas City as a pitching staff has walked 257 batters and struck out 532. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.44 and their FIP as a unit is 4.57.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Kansas City is hitting .242, good for 22nd in the league. The Royals hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .307, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Adalberto Mondesi is hitting .277 with an on-base percentage of .310. He has 76 hits this season in 274 at bats with 44 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .460 and an OPS+ of 102. Whit Merrifield is hitting .294 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .343. He has totaled 84 hits and he has driven in 31 men in 286 at bats. His OPS+ is 117 while his slugging percentage is at .479. The Royals have 563 hits, including 114 doubles and 68 home runs. Kansas City has walked 201 times so far this season and they have struck out 608 times as a unit. They have left 451 men on base and have a team OPS of .709. They score 4.12 runs per contest and have scored a total of 284 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Minnesota has a 46-22 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.97, Martin Perez has a 7-2 record and a 1.45 WHIP. He has 67 strikeouts over the 70.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 69 hits. He's allowing 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.81. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.81 and they have given up 216 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 227 batters and walked 91 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.95. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 566 base knocks and 264 earned runs this season. They have given up 83 home runs this year, which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 192 hitters and struck out 590 batters. They give up a walk 2.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 4.07.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .274, good for 1st in the league. The Twins hold a .514 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.5 hits per contest. Eddie Rosario comes into this matchup batting .263 with an OBP of .296. He has 68 hits this year along with 52 RBI in 259 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .525 with an OPS+ of 114. Jorge Polanco is hitting .335 this season and he has an OBP of .395. He has collected 88 hits in 263 at bats while driving in 36 runs. He has an OPS+ of 154 and a slugging percentage of .563. The Twins as a unit have 644 base hits, including 147 doubles and 133 homers. Minnesota has walked 213 times this year and they have struck out on 526 occasions. They have had 449 men left on base and have an OPS of .855. They have scored 5.97 runs per game and totaled 406 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Royals/Twins MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Royals +166

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