Kansas City Royals at Minnesota Twins Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 8/3/2019
Saturday, August 3, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Danny Duffy vs. Kyle Gibson
Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins (66-42, 1st in AL Central) host the Kansas City Royals (40-70, 4th in AL Central) at Target Field on Saturday, August 3, 2019.
The Royals have been great for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 40-70-0 SU. Minnesota covers 61.1% of the time, going 66-42-0 straight up.
Valuable Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
The Royals have been a less than ideal Under choice for over/under bettors, having gone 55-49-6.
The Royals are covering 32.7% of the time on the road, having gone 17-35-0 straight up.
Important Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Twins are covering 59.6% of the time at Target Field, going 31-21-0 SU.
The Twins have been a less than ideal Under choice for over/under bettors, having gone 55-48-5.
Key Kansas City Royals Injuries
8/2/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/26/2019 Adalberto Mondesi SS Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/25/2019 Jesse Hahn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 8
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season
Key Minnesota Twins Injuries
7/30/2019 C.J 1B Thumb Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/28/2019 Willians Astudillo C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Aug 19
7/24/2019 LaMonte Wade RF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Royals have a 40-70 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Danny Duffy has a 5-5 record with an earned run average of 4.42 and a WHIP of 1.37 this season. He has 85 strikeouts over his 95.2 innings pitched and he's given up 97 hits. He's allowed 9.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.73. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.68 and they have given up 392 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .266 against the bullpen and they've struck out 355 hitters and walked 174 batters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 4.96. The Royals pitchers collectively have given up 1,026 base hits and 536 earned runs. They have allowed 144 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Kansas City as a pitching staff has walked 393 batters and struck out 844. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.46 and their FIP as a unit is 4.81.
As a team Kansas City is hitting .247, good for 18th in the league. The Royals hold a .399 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Whit Merrifield is hitting .300 with an on-base percentage of .356. He has 138 hits this season in 460 at bats with 55 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .480 and an OPS+ of 119. Alex Gordon is hitting .281 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .355. He has totaled 110 hits and he has driven in 60 men in 391 at bats. His OPS+ is 109 while his slugging percentage is at .440. The Royals have 925 hits, including 195 doubles and 103 home runs. Kansas City has walked 317 times so far this season and they have struck out 940 times as a unit. They have left 726 men on base and have a team OPS of .710. They score 4.28 runs per contest and have scored a total of 471 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Minnesota has a 66-42 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.10, Kyle Gibson has a 10-4 record and a 1.27 WHIP. He has 118 strikeouts over the 116.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 115 hits. He's allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.98. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.45 and they have given up 365 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .254 against the Twins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 383 batters and walked 136 opposing hitters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 4.03. The Twins pitchers as a team have surrendered 939 base knocks and 438 earned runs this season. They have given up 134 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. Minnesota as a staff has walked 306 hitters and struck out 953 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.27 while their FIP as a staff is 4.11.
As a team, they are batting .269, good for 4th in the league. The Twins hold a .499 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.6 hits per contest. Jorge Polanco comes into this matchup batting .299 with an OBP of .358. He has 129 hits this year along with 52 RBI in 432 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .500 with an OPS+ of 125. Jonathan Schoop is hitting .254 this season and he has an OBP of .302. He has collected 83 hits in 327 at bats while driving in 44 runs. He has an OPS+ of 98 and a slugging percentage of .459. The Twins as a unit have 1,032 base hits, including 222 doubles and 210 homers. Minnesota has walked 342 times this year and they have struck out on 874 occasions. They have had 744 men left on base and have an OPS of .835. They have scored 5.71 runs per game and totaled 617 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Royals/Twins MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Royals
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