Kansas City Royals at Texas Rangers Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 6/1/2019

Saturday, June 1, 2019

Globe Life Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Homer Bailey vs. Lance Lynn

Adalberto Mondesi and the Kansas City Royals (19-37, 5th in AL Central) head to Globe Life Park on Saturday where they'll meet the Texas Rangers (27-27, 3rd in AL West). The odds on this contest have the Royals coming in at +135 and the Rangers are at -145. The over/under opens at 10.5.

The Royals have been a terrible play for wagerers, having gone 19-37-0 SU. The Rangers cover 50.0% of the time, going 27-27-0 straight up. The Rangers have been lousy for Las Vegas oddsmakers as the favorite, going 8-4-0 SU. Kansas City has gone 16-34-0 straight up as the underdog, so they cover 32.0% of the time.

Valuable Kansas City Royals Betting Trends

The Royals have been a great Over play for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 29-23-4.

The Royals cover 28.6% of the time as the away team, having gone 8-20-0 straight up.

Important Texas Rangers Betting Trends

The Rangers cover 65.4% of the time at Globe Life Park, going 17-9-0 SU.

The Rangers have been a solid Over play for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 29-24-1.

Key Kansas City Royals Injuries

5/30/2019 Hunter Dozier 3B Chest Probable for May 31
5/25/2019 Lucas Duda DH Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 4
3/28/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season
2/19/2019 Jesse Hahn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 1

Key Texas Rangers Injuries

5/31/2019 Willie Calhoun LF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 7
5/30/2019 Scott Heineman LF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
5/29/2019 Clayton Blackburn RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 15
5/29/2019 Luke Farrell SP Jaw Expected to be out until at least Jun 6
5/26/2019 Taylor Hearn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
5/22/2019 Edinson Volquez SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
4/1/2019 Yohander Mendez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 15

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Royals have a 19-37 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Homer Bailey has a 4-5 record with an earned run average of 5.79 and a WHIP of 1.48 this season. He has 49 strikeouts over his 51.1 innings pitched and he's given up 53 hits. He's allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.41. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.79 and they have given up 204 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .265 against the bullpen and they've struck out 194 hitters and walked 86 batters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8 batters per nine innings. They are 28th in the league in team earned run average at 5.18. The Royals pitchers collectively have given up 509 base hits and 283 earned runs. They have allowed 69 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Kansas City as a pitching staff has walked 214 batters and struck out 439. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 4.71.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Kansas City is hitting .247, good for 18th in the league. The Royals hold a .413 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .316, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Adalberto Mondesi is hitting .287 with an on-base percentage of .322. He has 64 hits this season in 223 at bats with 42 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .489 and an OPS+ of 112. Whit Merrifield is hitting .293 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .350. He has totaled 68 hits and he has driven in 28 men in 232 at bats. His OPS+ is 124 while his slugging percentage is at .500. The Royals have 466 hits, including 91 doubles and 59 home runs. Kansas City has walked 177 times so far this season and they have struck out 479 times as a unit. They have left 366 men on base and have a team OPS of .728. They score 4.48 runs per contest and have scored a total of 251 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Texas has a 27-27 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.66, Lance Lynn has a 6-4 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 70 strikeouts over the 67.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 72 hits. He's allowing 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.34. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.08 and they have given up 242 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the Rangers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 197 batters and walked 100 opposing hitters. As a team, Texas allows 9.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.2 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.08. The Rangers pitchers as a team have surrendered 515 base knocks and 270 earned runs this season. They have given up 72 home runs this year, which ranks 17th in Major League Baseball. Texas as a staff has walked 214 hitters and struck out 436 batters. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.53 while their FIP as a staff is 4.76.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .254, good for 13th in the league. The Rangers hold a .460 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Nomar Mazara comes into this matchup batting .267 with an OBP of .319. He has 51 hits this year along with 28 RBI in 191 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .466 with an OPS+ of 99. Shin-Soo Choo is hitting .299 this season and he has an OBP of .387. He has collected 58 hits in 194 at bats while driving in 25 runs. He has an OPS+ of 138 and a slugging percentage of .546. The Rangers as a unit have 470 base hits, including 111 doubles and 84 homers. Texas has walked 201 times this year and they have struck out on 532 occasions. They have had 356 men left on base and have an OPS of .793. They have scored 5.67 runs per game and totaled 306 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Royals/Rangers MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Royals +135

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