Kansas City Royals at Washington Nationals Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 7/7/2019
Sunday, July 7, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jakob Junis vs. Patrick Corbin
Alex Gordon and the Kansas City Royals (30-59, 5th in AL Central) head to Nationals Park on Sunday where they'll take on the Washington Nationals (45-42, 3rd in NL East). The odds on this game have the Royals priced at +203 and the Nationals are at -220. The total opens at 9.
The Royals have been a terrible choice for wagerers, having gone 30-59-0 SU. Washington is covering 51.7% of the time, going 45-42-0 straight up. The Nationals have been a great pick for baseball bettors as a favorite, going 34-25-0 SU. Kansas City has gone 25-53-0 straight up as the underdog, so they cover 32.0% of the time.
Valuable Kansas City Royals Betting Trends
The Royals have been a less than ideal Under play for O/U wagerers, having gone 45-39-5.
Kansas City is covering 31.1% of the time as the road team, having gone 14-31-0 straight up.
Important Washington Nationals Betting Trends
The Nationals cover 54.5% of the time at Nationals Park, going 24-20-0 SU.
The Nationals have been a less than ideal Under play for O/U wagerers, having gone 43-38-6.
Key Kansas City Royals Injuries
6/10/2019 Jesse Hahn SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 25
3/28/2019 Trevor Oaks SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
3/11/2019 Salvador Perez C Elbow Out for the season
Key Washington Nationals Injuries
7/3/2019 Justin Miller RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
7/3/2019 Max Scherzer SP Paternity List Expected to be out until at least Jul 6
7/2/2019 Kyle Barraclough RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/27/2019 Rafael Bautista RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/25/2019 Jeremy Hellickson SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
6/13/2019 Koda Glover RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
6/13/2019 Austen Williams RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 17
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Royals have a 30-59 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jakob Junis has a 4-8 record with an earned run average of 5.53 and a WHIP of 1.48 this season. He has 92 strikeouts over his 99.1 innings pitched and he's given up 111 hits. He's allowed 10.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.98. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.83 and they have given up 318 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .267 against the bullpen and they've struck out 289 hitters and walked 139 batters. As a team, Kansas City allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.8 batters per nine innings. They are 27th in the league in team earned run average at 5.08. The Royals pitchers collectively have given up 817 base hits and 441 earned runs. They have allowed 118 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Kansas City as a pitching staff has walked 331 batters and struck out 674. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 7.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.47 and their FIP as a unit is 4.91.
As a team Kansas City is hitting .246, good for 18th in the league. The Royals hold a .402 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Alex Gordon is hitting .268 with an on-base percentage of .346. He has 84 hits this season in 313 at bats with 54 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .438 and an OPS+ of 108. Whit Merrifield is hitting .307 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .355. He has totaled 115 hits and he has driven in 44 men in 375 at bats. His OPS+ is 124 while his slugging percentage is at .496. The Royals have 743 hits, including 156 doubles and 87 home runs. Kansas City has walked 252 times so far this season and they have struck out 777 times as a unit. They have left 583 men on base and have a team OPS of .710. They score 4.27 runs per contest and have scored a total of 380 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Washington has a 45-42 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.55, Patrick Corbin has a 7-5 record and a 1.14 WHIP. He has 118 strikeouts over the 106.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 88 hits. He's allowing 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.56. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.07 and they have given up 280 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .271 against the Nationals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 262 batters and walked 116 opposing hitters. As a team, Washington allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.45. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 733 base knocks and 381 earned runs this season. They have given up 101 home runs this year, which ranks 27th in Major League Baseball. Washington as a staff has walked 274 hitters and struck out 826 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.01.
As a team, they are batting .253, good for 16th in the league. The Nationals hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Adam Eaton comes into this matchup batting .278 with an OBP of .365. He has 88 hits this year along with 21 RBI in 317 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .379 with an OPS+ of 93. Anthony Rendon is hitting .304 this season and he has an OBP of .389. He has collected 83 hits in 273 at bats while driving in 60 runs. He has an OPS+ of 152 and a slugging percentage of .615. The Nationals as a unit have 744 base hits, including 142 doubles and 122 homers. Washington has walked 290 times this year and they have struck out on 738 occasions. They have had 592 men left on base and have an OPS of .763. They have scored 4.93 runs per game and totaled 429 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Royals/Nationals MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Royals +203
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