Los Angeles Angels at Baltimore Orioles Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 5/11/2019

Saturday, May 11, 2019

Oriole Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Matt Harvey vs. Dylan Bundy

The Los Angeles Angels visit Oriole Park on Saturday, May 11, 2019 to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Matt Harvey for the Angels and Dylan Bundy for the Orioles.

The opening line for this matchup has Los Angeles at -133 and Baltimore at +123. The Angels have a 21-18-1 over/under record and a 16-24-0 run line mark. The Orioles are 16-21-0 against the run line and have a 20-16-1 over/under record.

Valuable Los Angeles Angels Betting Trends

The Los Angeles Angels are 21-18-1 against the over/under

The Los Angeles Angels are 16-24-0 against the run line

Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 20-16-1 against the over/under

The Baltimore Orioles are 16-21-0 against the run line

Key Los Angeles Angels Injuries

04/23/19 LF Justin Upton Toe 60-day IL (04/23)
03/30/19 LF Michael Hermosillo Undisclosed 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Andrew Heaney Elbow 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P JC Ramirez Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Keynan Middleton Elbow 60-day IL (03/16)

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

04/28/19 P Alex Cobb Back 10-day IL (04/27)
04/12/19 P Richard Bleier Shoulder 10-day IL (04/10)
04/10/19 P Nate Karns Forearm 10-day IL (04/09)
03/28/19 DH Mark Trumbo Groin 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Angels have a 17-20 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Matt Harvey has a 1-3 record with an earned run average of 6.94 and a WHIP of 1.38 this season. He has 22 strikeouts over his 36.1 innings pitched and he's given up 36 hits. He's allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.47. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.06 and they have given up 144 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the bullpen and they've struck out 183 hitters and walked 71 batters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 4.95. The Angels pitchers collectively have given up 310 base hits and 180 earned runs. They have allowed 55 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. Los Angeles as a pitching staff has walked 134 batters and struck out 312. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.80.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Los Angeles is hitting .245, good for 16th in the league. The Angels hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 22nd in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Andrelton Simmons is hitting .291 with an on-base percentage of .310. He has 44 hits this season in 151 at bats with 19 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .430 and an OPS+ of 99. Mike Trout is hitting .284 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .463. He has totaled 31 hits and he has driven in 21 men in 109 at bats. His OPS+ is 173 while his slugging percentage is at .541. The Angels have 302 hits, including 60 doubles and 51 home runs. Los Angeles has walked 134 times so far this season and they have struck out 215 times as a unit. They have left 240 men on base and have a team OPS of .748. They score 4.84 runs per contest and have scored a total of 179 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Baltimore has a 13-24 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.30, Dylan Bundy has a 1-4 record and a 1.32 WHIP. He has 38 strikeouts over the 35.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 33 hits. He's allowing 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.8. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.95 and they have given up 164 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .272 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 150 batters and walked 75 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.9 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.52. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 344 base knocks and 201 earned runs this season. They have given up 80 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 133 hitters and struck out 286 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.46 while their FIP as a staff is 5.97.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .238, good for 22nd in the league. The Orioles hold a .386 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .298, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Trey Mancini comes into this matchup batting .328 with an OBP of .381. He has 44 hits this year along with 15 RBI in 134 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .560 with an OPS+ of 154. Jonathan Villar is hitting .257 this season and he has an OBP of .309. He has collected 39 hits in 152 at bats while driving in 16 runs. He has an OPS+ of 95 and a slugging percentage of .408. The Orioles as a unit have 302 base hits, including 56 doubles and 39 homers. Baltimore has walked 96 times this year and they have struck out on 324 occasions. They have had 242 men left on base and have an OPS of .684. They have scored 4.03 runs per game and totaled 149 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Angels/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Angels -133

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