Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 7/5/2019
Friday, July 5, 2019
Minute Maid Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Andrew Heaney vs. Justin Verlander
Michael Brantley and the Houston Astros (55-32, 1st in AL West) play the Los Angeles Angels (44-43, 4th in AL West) at Minute Maid Park on Friday, July 5, 2019. The odds on this matchup have the Angels coming in at +182 and the Astros are at -195. The total is set at 9.
The Angels have been decent for wagerers, having gone 44-43-0 SU. The Astros are covering 63.2% of the time, going 55-32-0 straight up. The Astros have been awful for Las Vegas oddsmakers as the favorite, going 53-27-0 SU. Los Angeles has went 18-23-0 straight up as the underdog, so they are covering 43.9% of the time.
Valuable Los Angeles Angels Betting Trends
The Angels have been a good Under play for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 39-42-6.
Los Angeles is covering 50.0% of the time as the road team, having gone 22-22-0 straight up.
Important Houston Astros Betting Trends
The Astros are covering 70.5% of the time at Minute Maid Park, going 31-13-0 SU.
The Astros have been a good Under play for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 38-46-3.
Key Los Angeles Angels Injuries
7/3/2019 Brian Goodwin LF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jul 13
7/3/2019 Stella Tommy La Stella 2B Lower Leg Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
7/3/2019 Justin Upton LF Quadriceps Probable for Jul 4
6/28/2019 Matt Harvey SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
6/26/2019 JC Ramirez SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/26/2019 Keynan Middleton RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 24
6/25/2019 Zack Cozart 3B Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
6/20/2019 Kevan Smith C Hand Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
Key Houston Astros Injuries
7/1/2019 Brad Peacock SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
6/27/2019 Joe Smith RP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
6/20/2019 Carlos Correa SS Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
6/20/2019 Aledmys Diaz 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Angels have a 44-43 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Andrew Heaney has a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 5.40 and a WHIP of 1.23 this season. He has 44 strikeouts over his 36.2 innings pitched and he's given up 30 hits. He's allowed 7.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.39. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.43 and they have given up 367 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the bullpen and they've struck out 415 hitters and walked 166 batters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.83. The Angels pitchers collectively have given up 719 base hits and 413 earned runs. They have allowed 142 home runs this season, ranking them 4th in the league. Los Angeles as a pitching staff has walked 302 batters and struck out 771. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.93.
As a team Los Angeles is hitting .259, good for 9th in the league. The Angels hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 10th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. David Fletcher is hitting .287 with an on-base percentage of .351. He has 82 hits this season in 286 at bats with 30 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .399 and an OPS+ of 101. Mike Trout is hitting .296 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .452. He has totaled 85 hits and he has driven in 61 men in 287 at bats. His OPS+ is 183 while his slugging percentage is at .617. The Angels have 771 hits, including 140 doubles and 124 home runs. Los Angeles has walked 318 times so far this season and they have struck out 585 times as a unit. They have left 621 men on base and have a team OPS of .773. They score 5.05 runs per contest and have scored a total of 439 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Houston has a 55-32 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.86, Justin Verlander has a 10-3 record and a 0.79 WHIP. He has 147 strikeouts over the 119.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 69 hits. He's allowing 5.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.88 and they have given up 242 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 305 batters and walked 100 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allows 7.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.84. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 641 base knocks and 334 earned runs this season. They have given up 131 home runs this year, which ranks 5th in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff has walked 243 hitters and struck out 866 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.13 while their FIP as a staff is 4.20.
As a team, they are batting .267, good for 5th in the league. The Astros hold a .469 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Michael Brantley comes into this matchup batting .310 with an OBP of .371. He has 100 hits this year along with 45 RBI in 323 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .486 with an OPS+ of 128. Alex Bregman is hitting .267 this season and he has an OBP of .392. He has collected 82 hits in 307 at bats while driving in 55 runs. He has an OPS+ of 147 and a slugging percentage of .541. The Astros as a unit have 792 base hits, including 161 doubles and 137 homers. Houston has walked 325 times this year and they have struck out on 600 occasions. They have had 610 men left on base and have an OPS of .811. They have scored 5.05 runs per game and totaled 439 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Angels/Astros MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Angels +182
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