Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets MLB Picks Against the Spread 9/15/2019

Sunday, September 15, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Walker Buehler vs. Zack Wheeler

Cody Bellinger and the Los Angeles Dodgers (96-53, 1st in NL West) travel to Citi Field on Sunday where they'll meet the New York Mets (76-71, 4th in NL East). The odds on this game have the Dodgers priced at -127 and the Mets are at +117. The over/under has been set at 8.

The Dodgers have been awful for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 96-53-0 SU. New York covers 51.7% of the time, going 76-71-0 straight up.

Valuable Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends

The Dodgers have been an inconsistent Under bet for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 70-72-7.

Los Angeles covers 54.8% of the time as the away team, having gone 40-33-0 straight up.

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The Mets cover 58.3% of the time at Citi Field, going 42-30-0 SU.

The Mets have been an inconsistent Under bet for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 71-61-15.

Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries

9/13/2019 Alex Verdugo CF Oblique Out for the season
9/13/2019 Justin Turner 3B Ankle Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/13/2019 Kristopher Negron CF Personal Expected to be out until at least Sep 17
9/12/2019 Scott Alexander RP Hand Out for the season
9/12/2019 Rich Hill SP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/3/2019 Tyler White 1B Lat Out for the season
8/29/2019 Tom Koehler SP Shoulder Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/7/2019 Dominic Smith LF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/4/2019 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/14/2019 Jacob Rhame RP Elbow Out for the season
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Dodgers have a 96-53 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Walker Buehler has a 13-3 record with an earned run average of 3.14 and a WHIP of 1.02 this season. He has 201 strikeouts over his 166.1 innings pitched and he's given up 141 hits. He's allowed 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.83. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.94 and they have given up 410 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the bullpen and they've struck out 510 hitters and walked 167 batters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.4. The Dodgers pitchers collectively have given up 1,117 base hits and 502 earned runs. They have allowed 174 home runs this season, ranking them 28th in the league. Los Angeles as a pitching staff has walked 355 batters and struck out 1,383. They have walked 2.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.11 and their FIP as a unit is 3.76.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Los Angeles is hitting .258, good for 10th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .475 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .339, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Cody Bellinger is hitting .306 with an on-base percentage of .409. He has 158 hits this season in 516 at bats with 108 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .632 and an OPS+ of 170. Max Muncy is hitting .252 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .375. He has totaled 112 hits and he has driven in 87 men in 445 at bats. His OPS+ is 134 while his slugging percentage is at .521. The Dodgers have 1,304 hits, including 277 doubles and 261 home runs. Los Angeles has walked 568 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,225 times as a unit. They have left 1,046 men on base and have a team OPS of .814. They score 5.47 runs per contest and have scored a total of 815 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 76-71 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.21, Zack Wheeler has a 11-7 record and a 1.31 WHIP. He has 170 strikeouts over the 173.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 178 hits. He's allowing 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.61. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.18 and they have given up 477 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 504 batters and walked 212 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.36. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,283 base knocks and 641 earned runs this season. They have given up 185 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 467 hitters and struck out 1,366 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.15.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .258, good for 9th in the league. The Mets hold a .442 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Amed Rosario comes into this matchup batting .287 with an OBP of .324. He has 161 hits this year along with 61 RBI in 561 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .424 with an OPS+ of 99. Pete Alonso is hitting .264 this season and he has an OBP of .365. He has collected 142 hits in 538 at bats while driving in 109 runs. He has an OPS+ of 149 and a slugging percentage of .586. The Mets as a unit have 1,323 base hits, including 254 doubles and 218 homers. New York has walked 465 times this year and they have struck out on 1,254 occasions. They have had 1,032 men left on base and have an OPS of .771. They have scored 4.88 runs per game and totaled 718 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Dodgers/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Mets (+117)

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