Los Angeles Dodgers at San Diego Padres MLB Picks Against the Spread 8/28/2019

Wednesday, August 28, 2019

Petco Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Kenta Maeda vs. Jacob Nix

Cody Bellinger and the Los Angeles Dodgers (86-47, 1st in NL West) head to Petco Park on Wednesday where they'll take on the San Diego Padres (61-69, 4th in NL West). The Padres open this matchup at +148 while the Dodgers are coming in at -158. The over/under opens at 9.

The Dodgers have been very good for MLB bettors, having gone 86-47-0 SU. The Padres cover 46.9% of the time, going 61-69-0 straight up.

Valuable Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends

The Dodgers have been a dicey Over choice for over/under bettors, having gone 62-66-5.

Los Angeles is covering 54.0% of the time as the visitor, having gone 34-29-0 straight up.

Important San Diego Padres Betting Trends

The Padres cover 47.0% of the time at Petco Park, going 31-35-0 SU.

The Padres have been a dicey Over choice for over/under bettors, having gone 59-61-10.

Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries

8/27/2019 Casey Sadler RP Back Probable for Aug 27
8/23/2019 Scott Alexander RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/23/2019 Tyler White 1B Upper Body Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/21/2019 Alex Verdugo CF Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/21/2019 Dylan Floro RP Chest Expected to be out until at least Aug 31
8/20/2019 Kristopher Negron CF Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/18/2019 Ross Stripling RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/4/2019 David Freese 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
7/14/2019 Rich Hill SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 2

Key San Diego Padres Injuries

8/24/2019 Jacob Nix SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/23/2019 Ian Kinsler 2B Neck Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
8/23/2019 Carl Edwards RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
8/20/2019 Miguel Diaz RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/20/2019 Garrett Richards SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/20/2019 Aaron Loup RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/16/2019 Brett Kennedy SP Lat Out for the season
8/16/2019 Fernando Tatis SS Back Out for the season
8/10/2019 Jose Castillo RP Finger Out for the season
8/10/2019 Franchy Cordero CF Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/7/2019 Adam Warren RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Dodgers have a 86-47 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Kenta Maeda has a 8-8 record with an earned run average of 4.13 and a WHIP of 1.11 this season. He has 146 strikeouts over his 133 innings pitched and he's given up 103 hits. He's allowed 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.96. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.07 and they have given up 359 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the bullpen and they've struck out 426 hitters and walked 144 batters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.35. The Dodgers pitchers collectively have given up 1,001 base hits and 441 earned runs. They have allowed 155 home runs this season, ranking them 28th in the league. Los Angeles as a pitching staff has walked 305 batters and struck out 1,220. They have walked 2.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.10 and their FIP as a unit is 3.75.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Los Angeles is hitting .258, good for 9th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .474 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.7 hits per game. Cody Bellinger is hitting .310 with an on-base percentage of .407. He has 143 hits this season in 462 at bats with 100 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .649 and an OPS+ of 174. Max Muncy is hitting .255 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .373. He has totaled 112 hits and he has driven in 87 men in 439 at bats. His OPS+ is 135 while his slugging percentage is at .528. The Dodgers have 1,163 hits, including 248 doubles and 229 home runs. Los Angeles has walked 515 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,105 times as a unit. They have left 950 men on base and have a team OPS of .814. They score 5.43 runs per contest and have scored a total of 722 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

San Diego has a 61-69 overall mark this year. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.59 and they have given up 483 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Padres bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 539 batters and walked 162 opposing hitters. As a team, San Diego allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.52. The Padres pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,128 base knocks and 579 earned runs this season. They have given up 173 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. San Diego as a staff has walked 358 hitters and struck out 1,158 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.23.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .243, good for 24th in the league. The Padres hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .310, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Eric Hosmer comes into this matchup batting .283 with an OBP of .330. He has 143 hits this year along with 85 RBI in 505 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .448 with an OPS+ of 104. Manny Machado is hitting .264 this season and he has an OBP of .335. He has collected 128 hits in 485 at bats while driving in 74 runs. He has an OPS+ of 110 and a slugging percentage of .470. The Padres as a unit have 1,057 base hits, including 183 doubles and 190 homers. San Diego has walked 390 times this year and they have struck out on 1,255 occasions. They have had 791 men left on base and have an OPS of .734. They have scored 4.42 runs per game and totaled 575 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Dodgers/Padres MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Padres (+148)

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