Los Angeles Dodgers at Washington Nationals MLB Picks Against the Spread 7/28/2019

Sunday, July 28, 2019

Nationals Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Walker Buehler vs. Stephen Strasburg

Anthony Rendon and the Washington Nationals (55-48, 2nd in NL East) host the Los Angeles Dodgers (68-37, 1st in NL West) at Nationals Park on Sunday, July 28, 2019. The Dodgers open this matchup at +105 while the Nationals are coming in at -115. The O/U has been set at 9.

The Dodgers have been awful for oddsmakers, having gone 68-37-0 SU. The Nationals are covering 53.4% of the time, going 55-48-0 straight up. The Nationals have been awful for oddsmakers as the favorite, going 42-29-0 SU. The Dodgers are covering 40.0% of the time as an underdog, having gone 2-3-0 straight up.

Valuable Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Trends

The Dodgers have been a less than ideal Under bet for over/under bettors, having gone 51-49-5.

The Dodgers are covering 54.9% of the time away from home, having gone 28-23-0 straight up.

Important Washington Nationals Betting Trends

Washington is covering 56.9% of the time at Nationals Park, going 29-22-0 SU.

The Nationals have been a less than ideal Over bet for over/under bettors, having gone 46-51-6.

Key Los Angeles Dodgers Injuries

7/26/2019 David Freese 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/26/2019 Enrique Hernandez 2B Hand Probable for Jul 27
7/25/2019 Ross Stripling RP Neck Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/20/2019 Scott Alexander RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 3
7/19/2019 Dylan Floro RP Neck Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
7/15/2019 Chris Taylor LF Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
7/14/2019 Rich Hill SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 2
7/1/2019 Tom Koehler SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
6/26/2019 Tony Cingrani RP Shoulder Out for the season

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

7/26/2019 Max Scherzer SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/26/2019 Jonny Venters RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 27
7/25/2019 Austin Voth SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 12
7/23/2019 Jeremy Hellickson SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 19
7/23/2019 Austen Williams RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
7/22/2019 Ryan Zimmerman 1B Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 22
7/22/2019 Justin Miller RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 29
6/13/2019 Koda Glover RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 7

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Dodgers have a 68-37 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Walker Buehler has a 9-1 record with an earned run average of 3.23 and a WHIP of 0.98 this season. He has 131 strikeouts over his 117 innings pitched and he's given up 98 hits. He's allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.13 and they have given up 275 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .220 against the bullpen and they've struck out 336 hitters and walked 117 batters. As a team, Los Angeles allows 7.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 1st in the league in team earned run average at 3.33. The Dodgers pitchers collectively have given up 783 base hits and 346 earned runs. They have allowed 124 home runs this season, ranking them 27th in the league. Los Angeles as a pitching staff has walked 238 batters and struck out 955. They have walked 2.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.09 and their FIP as a unit is 3.79.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Los Angeles is hitting .262, good for 7th in the league. The Dodgers hold a .469 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .343, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Cody Bellinger is hitting .330 with an on-base percentage of .429. He has 119 hits this season in 361 at bats with 78 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .679 and an OPS+ of 188. Max Muncy is hitting .262 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .369. He has totaled 91 hits and he has driven in 69 men in 347 at bats. His OPS+ is 136 while his slugging percentage is at .533. The Dodgers have 935 hits, including 183 doubles and 175 home runs. Los Angeles has walked 409 times so far this season and they have struck out 849 times as a unit. They have left 778 men on base and have a team OPS of .812. They score 5.4 runs per contest and have scored a total of 567 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Washington has a 55-48 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.37, Stephen Strasburg has a 13-4 record and a 1.08 WHIP. He has 159 strikeouts over the 133.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 110 hits. He's allowing 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.92 and they have given up 330 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .270 against the Nationals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 310 batters and walked 139 opposing hitters. As a team, Washington allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.26. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 866 base knocks and 431 earned runs this season. They have given up 116 home runs this year, which ranks 29th in Major League Baseball. Washington as a staff has walked 323 hitters and struck out 973 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 3.96.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .256, good for 11th in the league. The Nationals hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .331, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Anthony Rendon comes into this matchup batting .313 with an OBP of .398. He has 105 hits this year along with 73 RBI in 335 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .612 with an OPS+ of 154. Adam Eaton is hitting .285 this season and he has an OBP of .365. He has collected 109 hits in 383 at bats while driving in 27 runs. He has an OPS+ of 98 and a slugging percentage of .402. The Nationals as a unit have 894 base hits, including 178 doubles and 137 homers. Washington has walked 348 times this year and they have struck out on 855 occasions. They have had 715 men left on base and have an OPS of .766. They have scored 4.93 runs per game and totaled 508 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Dodgers/Nationals MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Nationals -115

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