Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves Baseball Betting Tips 4/7/2019

Sunday, April 7, 2019

SunTrust Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Caleb Smith vs. Sean Newcomb

The Miami Marlins visit SunTrust Park on Sunday, April 7, 2019 to play the Atlanta Braves. The probable starters are Caleb Smith for the Marlins and Sean Newcomb for the Braves.

The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +174 and Atlanta at -185. The Marlins have a 5-2-1 over/under record and a 3-5-0 run line mark. The Braves are 4-3-0 against the run line and have a 4-3-0 over/under record.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 5-2-1 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 3-5-0 against the run line

Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Atlanta Braves are 4-3-0 against the over/under

The Atlanta Braves are 4-3-0 against the run line

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

04/01/19 LF Garrett Cooper Calf 10-day IL (03/31)
03/28/19 P Riley Ferrell Biceps 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Julian Fernandez Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

03/25/19 P Darren O'Day Arm 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Mike Foltynewicz Elbow 10-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 2-6 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Caleb Smith has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.00 this season. He has 8 strikeouts over his 5 innings pitched and he's given up 4 hits. He's allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 0.38. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.00 and they have given up 24 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the bullpen and they've struck out 31 hitters and walked 11 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.44. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 69 base hits and 35 earned runs. They have allowed 6 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 20 batters and struck out 74. They have walked 2.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.25 and their FIP as a unit is 3.05.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .237, good for 18th in the league. The Marlins hold a .363 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .295, which is good for 21st in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Curtis Granderson is hitting .188 with an on-base percentage of .391. He has 3 hits this season in 16 at bats with 3 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .438 and an OPS+ of 127. Miguel Rojas is hitting .286 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .318. He has totaled 6 hits and he has driven in 4 men in 21 at bats. His OPS+ is 91 while his slugging percentage is at .381. The Marlins have 62 hits, including 12 doubles and 7 home runs. Miami has walked 17 times so far this season and they have struck out 67 times as a unit. They have left 50 men on base and have a team OPS of .657. They score 3.25 runs per contest and have scored a total of 26 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 4-3 overall mark this year. Sean Newcomb has a 0-0 record and a 2.50 WHIP. He has 3 strikeouts over the 4 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 6 hits. He's allowing 13.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.48. The bullpen has an earned run average of 7.11 and they have given up 25 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .258 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 25 batters and walked 17 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 7.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.65. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 51 base knocks and 31 earned runs this season. They have given up 11 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 37 hitters and struck out 61 batters. They give up a walk 5.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.47 while their FIP as a staff is 5.33.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .270, good for 6th in the league. The Braves hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .379, which is good for 4th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Dansby Swanson comes into this matchup batting .316 with an OBP of .462. He has 6 hits this year along with 6 RBI in 19 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .684 with an OPS+ of 195. Freddie Freeman is hitting .375 this season and he has an OBP of .531. He has collected 9 hits in 24 at bats while driving in 2 runs. He has an OPS+ of 173 and a slugging percentage of .500. The Braves as a unit have 61 base hits, including 11 doubles and 9 homers. Atlanta has walked 39 times this year and they have struck out on 57 occasions. They have had 55 men left on base and have an OPS of .826. They have scored 5.43 runs per game and totaled 38 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Braves -185

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