Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Tips 7/6/2019
Saturday, July 6, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Caleb Smith vs. Max Fried
Miguel Rojas and the Miami Marlins (32-53, 5th in NL East) go to SunTrust Park on Saturday where they'll take on the Atlanta Braves (52-36, 1st in NL East). The Braves open this contest at -172 while the Marlins are coming in at +162. The total opens at 10.
The Marlins have been terrible for MLB wagerers, having gone 32-53-0 SU. The Braves are covering 59.1% of the time, going 52-36-0 straight up. The Braves have been awful for Las Vegas oddsmakers as favorites, going 40-20-0 SU. Miami has went 31-52-0 straight up as the underdog, so they are covering 37.4% of the time.
Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Marlins have been a less than ideal Over option for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 38-43-4.
The Marlins are covering 41.5% of the time away from home, having gone 17-24-0 straight up.
Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
Atlanta covers 59.1% of the time at SunTrust Park, going 26-18-0 SU.
The Braves have been a strong Over option for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 47-37-4.
Key Miami Marlins Injuries
7/4/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
7/3/2019 Brian Anderson 3B Elbow Probable for Jul 5
7/3/2019 Caleb Smith SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 6
6/30/2019 Jon Berti 3B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/30/2019 Pablo Lopez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
6/28/2019 Tayron Guerrero RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/28/2019 Martin Prado 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 7
6/21/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
6/14/2019 Jose Urena SP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/12/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
7/2/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/1/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
7/1/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/30/2019 Anthony Swarzak RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/26/2019 Kevin Gausman SP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Marlins have a 32-53 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Caleb Smith has a 3-4 record with an earned run average of 3.41 and a WHIP of 1.02 this season. He has 82 strikeouts over his 66 innings pitched and he's given up 47 hits. He's allowed 6.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.24. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.99 and they have given up 276 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen and they've struck out 296 hitters and walked 135 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.35. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 697 base hits and 368 earned runs. They have allowed 103 home runs this season, ranking them 25th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 306 batters and struck out 726. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.43.
As a team Miami is hitting .239, good for 26th in the league. The Marlins hold a .356 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Miguel Rojas is hitting .296 with an on-base percentage of .355. He has 86 hits this season in 291 at bats with 26 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .375 and an OPS+ of 100. Brian Anderson is hitting .252 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .336. He has totaled 78 hits and he has driven in 38 men in 309 at bats. His OPS+ is 105 while his slugging percentage is at .424. The Marlins have 689 hits, including 135 doubles and 65 home runs. Miami has walked 206 times so far this season and they have struck out 761 times as a unit. They have left 555 men on base and have a team OPS of .653. They score 3.58 runs per contest and have scored a total of 304 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Atlanta has a 52-36 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.04, Max Fried has a 9-3 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 90 strikeouts over the 93.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 99 hits. He's allowing 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.81. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.76 and they have given up 297 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 347 batters and walked 150 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.23. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 760 base knocks and 371 earned runs this season. They have given up 109 home runs this year, which ranks 21st in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 323 hitters and struck out 752 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.50.
As a team, they are batting .264, good for 8th in the league. The Braves hold a .465 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .309 with an OBP of .393. He has 107 hits this year along with 66 RBI in 346 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .590 with an OPS+ of 148. Ronald Acuna Jr is hitting .291 this season and he has an OBP of .374. He has collected 102 hits in 350 at bats while driving in 52 runs. He has an OPS+ of 123 and a slugging percentage of .503. The Braves as a unit have 805 base hits, including 158 doubles and 140 homers. Atlanta has walked 315 times this year and they have struck out on 760 occasions. They have had 611 men left on base and have an OPS of .802. They have scored 5.48 runs per game and totaled 482 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Marlins/Braves MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins +162
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