» MLB Picks » Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Tips 7/7/2019

Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Tips 7/7/2019

by Guy Bruhn - 7/6/2019

Sunday, July 7, 2019

SunTrust Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Trevor Richards vs. Dallas Keuchel

Brian Anderson and the Miami Marlins (32-54, 5th in NL East) head to SunTrust Park on Sunday where they'll meet the Atlanta Braves (53-36, 1st in NL East). The Marlins open this matchup at +185 while the Braves are priced at -200. The over/under is set at 9.5.

The Marlins have been a terrible option for baseball wagerers, having gone 32-54-0 SU. Atlanta is covering 59.6% of the time, going 53-36-0 straight up. The Braves have been an excellent option for wagerers as the favorite, going 41-20-0 SU. The Marlins are covering 36.9% of the time as the underdog, having gone 31-53-0 straight up.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins have been a good Under option for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 38-44-4.

The Marlins are covering 40.5% of the time on the road, having gone 17-25-0 straight up.

Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

Atlanta is covering 60.0% of the time at SunTrust Park, going 27-18-0 SU.

The Braves have been a rough Under option for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 47-38-4.

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

7/5/2019 Brian Anderson 3B Elbow Probable for Jul 6
7/4/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 11
7/3/2019 Caleb Smith SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 6
6/30/2019 Jon Berti 3B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/30/2019 Pablo Lopez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
6/28/2019 Martin Prado 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 7
6/28/2019 Tayron Guerrero RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/21/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
6/14/2019 Jose Urena SP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/12/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

7/5/2019 Kevin Gausman SP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 17
7/5/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 6
7/2/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/1/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
6/30/2019 Anthony Swarzak RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 32-54 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Trevor Richards has a 3-9 record with an earned run average of 4.02 and a WHIP of 1.30 this season. He has 83 strikeouts over his 94 innings pitched and he's given up 82 hits. He's allowed 7.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.53. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.98 and they have given up 279 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen and they've struck out 299 hitters and walked 137 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.29. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 701 base hits and 367 earned runs. They have allowed 103 home runs this season, ranking them 26th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 311 batters and struck out 736. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.41.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .239, good for 26th in the league. The Marlins hold a .355 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Brian Anderson is hitting .252 with an on-base percentage of .335. He has 78 hits this season in 310 at bats with 38 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .423 and an OPS+ of 105. Miguel Rojas is hitting .292 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .351. He has totaled 86 hits and he has driven in 26 men in 295 at bats. His OPS+ is 97 while his slugging percentage is at .369. The Marlins have 696 hits, including 137 doubles and 65 home runs. Miami has walked 209 times so far this season and they have struck out 773 times as a unit. They have left 564 men on base and have a team OPS of .652. They score 3.53 runs per contest and have scored a total of 304 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 53-36 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.08, Dallas Keuchel has a 1-2 record and a 1.47 WHIP. He has 8 strikeouts over the 17.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 21 hits. He's allowing 10.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.69. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.73 and they have given up 299 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 353 batters and walked 151 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.18. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 767 base knocks and 371 earned runs this season. They have given up 109 home runs this year, which ranks 21st in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 326 hitters and struck out 764 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.46.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .263, good for 8th in the league. The Braves hold a .463 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Ronald Acuna Jr comes into this matchup batting .291 with an OBP of .373. He has 103 hits this year along with 52 RBI in 354 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .500 with an OPS+ of 122. Freddie Freeman is hitting .309 this season and he has an OBP of .394. He has collected 108 hits in 349 at bats while driving in 66 runs. He has an OPS+ of 148 and a slugging percentage of .590. The Braves as a unit have 810 base hits, including 159 doubles and 140 homers. Atlanta has walked 320 times this year and they have struck out on 770 occasions. They have had 619 men left on base and have an OPS of .800. They have scored 5.43 runs per game and totaled 483 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins +185

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Pick:	OVER 2.5 (-130)
Start:	May 10, 2025 @ 8:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp MLS Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Dallas/Salt Lake OVER 2.5 (-130) (8:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 10) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time) These sides are nothing to write home about offensive, but their defenses are bad enough where both sides should have plenty of opportunities, and these sides have a strong history for high scoring matches. These are two of the worst defensive sides in MLS and combine to allow more than three goals per match. Dallas is coming off a road loss to San Diego where they conceded five goals. They were held scoreless in that one, but they should put an emphasis on scoring here and home pitch should help in that regard, and Salt Lake have given up five goals in their last three on the road. There’s a great chance Dallas could get two or more here. Salt Lake have scored in three straight on the road, amassing five goals in those matches. So there’s a good chance they will get at least one, and multiples is not out of the question. Four of the last five meetings have gone over the posted number, and three of those matches have seen four or more goals scored. We think we could see a result where both sides had multiple goals, but we are confident both will combine for three or more, and this price is more than fair for Saturday’s clash. Read More Read Less