Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves MLB Betting Tips 8/21/2019
Wednesday, August 21, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Caleb Smith vs. Julio Teheran
Ronald Acuna Jr and the Atlanta Braves (74-52, 1st in NL East) host the Miami Marlins (45-78, 5th in NL East) at SunTrust Park on Wednesday, August 21, 2019. The line on this matchup has the Marlins coming in at +190 and the Braves are at -205. The O/U is set at 9.5.
The Marlins have been terrible for baseball wagerers, having gone 45-78-0 SU. Atlanta is covering 58.7% of the time, going 74-52-0 straight up.
Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Marlins have been a decent Over pick for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 58-57-8.
The Marlins cover 33.9% of the time as a visitor, having gone 20-39-0 straight up.
Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
The Braves cover 57.1% of the time at SunTrust Park, going 36-27-0 SU.
The Braves have been a decent Over pick for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 63-56-7.
Key Miami Marlins Injuries
8/20/2019 Tayron Guerrero RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/17/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/17/2019 Pablo Lopez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 28
8/15/2019 JT Riddle CF Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/15/2019 Cesar Puello CF Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 22
8/15/2019 Miguel Rojas SS Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Aug 23
8/8/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Out for the season
8/5/2019 Jose Urena SP Back Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/1/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
8/19/2019 Jacob Webb RP Elbow Out for the season
8/17/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
8/14/2019 Austin Riley LF Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
8/14/2019 Dansby Swanson SS Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
8/14/2019 Grant Dayton RP Toe Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
7/27/2019 Nick Markakis RF Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
7/23/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Marlins have a 45-78 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Caleb Smith has a 8-6 record with an earned run average of 3.63 and a WHIP of 1.09 this season. He has 131 strikeouts over his 111.2 innings pitched and he's given up 83 hits. He's allowed 6.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.44. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.13 and they have given up 408 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the bullpen and they've struck out 432 hitters and walked 194 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.67. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 1,004 base hits and 568 earned runs. They have allowed 182 home runs this season, ranking them 11th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 464 batters and struck out 1,061. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.88.
As a team Miami is hitting .241, good for 28th in the league. The Marlins hold a .367 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Starlin Castro is hitting .260 with an on-base percentage of .284. He has 127 hits this season in 488 at bats with 58 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .379 and an OPS+ of 75. Brian Anderson is hitting .259 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .338. He has totaled 116 hits and he has driven in 65 men in 448 at bats. His OPS+ is 113 while his slugging percentage is at .469. The Marlins have 1,001 hits, including 198 doubles and 102 home runs. Miami has walked 288 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,106 times as a unit. They have left 786 men on base and have a team OPS of .664. They score 3.68 runs per contest and have scored a total of 453 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Atlanta has a 74-52 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.71, Julio Teheran has a 7-8 record and a 1.35 WHIP. He has 128 strikeouts over the 138.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 120 hits. He's allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.54. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.45 and they have given up 451 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 463 batters and walked 211 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.42. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,139 base knocks and 554 earned runs this season. They have given up 164 home runs this year, which ranks 21st in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 459 hitters and struck out 1,078 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.56.
As a team, they are batting .263, good for 6th in the league. The Braves hold a .461 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Ronald Acuna Jr comes into this matchup batting .296 with an OBP of .376. He has 151 hits this year along with 85 RBI in 510 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .537 with an OPS+ of 129. Freddie Freeman is hitting .303 this season and he has an OBP of .396. He has collected 146 hits in 482 at bats while driving in 98 runs. He has an OPS+ of 140 and a slugging percentage of .562. The Braves as a unit have 1,149 base hits, including 217 doubles and 200 homers. Atlanta has walked 458 times this year and they have struck out on 1,110 occasions. They have had 884 men left on base and have an OPS of .799. They have scored 5.38 runs per game and totaled 678 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Marlins/Braves MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins (+190)
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