Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves MLB Tips 7/5/2019
Friday, July 5, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jordan Yamamoto vs. Julio Teheran
Brian Anderson and the Miami Marlins (32-52, 5th in NL East) go to SunTrust Park on Friday where they'll meet the Atlanta Braves (51-36, 1st in NL East). The Braves open this game at -200 while the Marlins are priced at +185. The over/under is set at 10.
The Marlins have been a lousy bet for wagerers, having gone 32-52-0 SU. Atlanta is covering 58.6% of the time, going 51-36-0 straight up. The Braves have been lousy for Vegas oddsmakers as the favorite, going 39-20-0 SU. The Marlins are covering 37.8% of the time as the underdog, having gone 31-51-0 straight up.
Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Marlins have been a less than ideal Over choice for over/under bettors, having gone 38-42-4.
Miami is covering 42.5% of the time as the away team, having gone 17-23-0 straight up.
Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends
Atlanta is covering 58.1% of the time at SunTrust Park, going 25-18-0 SU.
The Braves have been a bad Under choice for over/under bettors, having gone 46-37-4.
Key Miami Marlins Injuries
7/3/2019 Caleb Smith SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 6
7/3/2019 Brian Anderson 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/30/2019 Pablo Lopez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
6/30/2019 Jon Berti 3B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/30/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 4
6/28/2019 Tayron Guerrero RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/28/2019 Martin Prado 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 7
6/21/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
6/14/2019 Jose Urena SP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/12/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
Key Atlanta Braves Injuries
7/2/2019 Darren O'Day RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
7/1/2019 Ender Inciarte CF Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
7/1/2019 Jacob Lindgren RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 31
6/30/2019 Anthony Swarzak RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/26/2019 Kevin Gausman SP Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Marlins have a 32-52 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jordan Yamamoto has a 3-0 record with an earned run average of 2.35 and a WHIP of 0.96 this season. He has 23 strikeouts over his 23 innings pitched and he's given up 10 hits. He's allowed 3.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.9. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.99 and they have given up 273 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen and they've struck out 293 hitters and walked 134 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.34. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 689 base hits and 363 earned runs. They have allowed 101 home runs this season, ranking them 26th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 304 batters and struck out 717. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.42.
As a team Miami is hitting .238, good for 26th in the league. The Marlins hold a .355 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Brian Anderson is hitting .253 with an on-base percentage of .337. He has 78 hits this season in 308 at bats with 38 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .425 and an OPS+ of 106. Miguel Rojas is hitting .297 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .357. He has totaled 85 hits and he has driven in 24 men in 286 at bats. His OPS+ is 99 while his slugging percentage is at .367. The Marlins have 679 hits, including 133 doubles and 64 home runs. Miami has walked 202 times so far this season and they have struck out 755 times as a unit. They have left 542 men on base and have a team OPS of .652. They score 3.6 runs per contest and have scored a total of 302 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Atlanta has a 51-36 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.99, Julio Teheran has a 5-6 record and a 1.37 WHIP. He has 85 strikeouts over the 94.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 81 hits. He's allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.73. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.75 and they have given up 294 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .236 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 344 batters and walked 148 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.21. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 748 base knocks and 365 earned runs this season. They have given up 108 home runs this year, which ranks 21st in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 319 hitters and struck out 743 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.37 while their FIP as a staff is 4.50.
As a team, they are batting .263, good for 8th in the league. The Braves hold a .460 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Ronald Acuna Jr comes into this matchup batting .292 with an OBP of .373. He has 101 hits this year along with 52 RBI in 346 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .506 with an OPS+ of 123. Freddie Freeman is hitting .308 this season and he has an OBP of .393. He has collected 105 hits in 341 at bats while driving in 65 runs. He has an OPS+ of 146 and a slugging percentage of .581. The Braves as a unit have 793 base hits, including 153 doubles and 135 homers. Atlanta has walked 310 times this year and they have struck out on 750 occasions. They have had 607 men left on base and have an OPS of .796. They have scored 5.4 runs per game and totaled 470 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Marlins/Braves MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Braves -200
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