Miami Marlins at Chicago Cubs MLB Betting Tips 5/7/2019

Tuesday, May 7, 2019

Wrigley Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Caleb Smith vs. Jon Lester

The Miami Marlins visit Wrigley Field on Tuesday, May 7, 2019 to play the Chicago Cubs. The probable starters are Caleb Smith for the Marlins and Jon Lester for the Cubs.

The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +185 and Chicago at -200. The Marlins have a 14-18-1 over/under record and a 12-21-0 run line mark. The Cubs are 17-14-0 against the run line and have a 18-13-0 over/under record.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Miami Marlins are 14-18-1 against the over/under

The Miami Marlins are 12-21-0 against the run line

Important Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 18-13-0 against the over/under

The Chicago Cubs are 17-14-0 against the run line

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

05/04/19 LF Garrett Cooper Hand 10-day IL (05/01)
03/28/19 P Riley Ferrell Biceps 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Julian Fernandez Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

05/02/19 P Brandon Morrow Elbow 60-day IL (05/02)
04/12/19 C Victor Caratini Hand 10-day IL (04/12)
04/06/19 P Mike Montgomery Back 10-day IL (04/05)
03/30/19 P Xavier Cedeno Wrist 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Kendall Graveman Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Tony Barnette Shoulder 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 9-24 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Caleb Smith has a 3-0 record with an earned run average of 2.00 and a WHIP of 0.83 this season. He has 45 strikeouts over his 36 innings pitched and he's given up 21 hits. He's allowed 5.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.84. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.82 and they have given up 106 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen and they've struck out 124 hitters and walked 51 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.76. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 276 base hits and 156 earned runs. They have allowed 42 home runs this season, ranking them 17th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 120 batters and struck out 296. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.40.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .221, good for 27th in the league. The Marlins hold a .318 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .284, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 7.3 hits per game. Brian Anderson is hitting .240 with an on-base percentage of .328. He has 29 hits this season in 121 at bats with 8 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .322 and an OPS+ of 84. Starlin Castro is hitting .219 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .275. He has totaled 28 hits and he has driven in 9 men in 128 at bats. His OPS+ is 61 while his slugging percentage is at .297. The Marlins have 240 hits, including 37 doubles and 23 home runs. Miami has walked 82 times so far this season and they have struck out 297 times as a unit. They have left 214 men on base and have a team OPS of .602. They score 2.76 runs per contest and have scored a total of 91 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Chicago has a 19-12 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 1.73, Jon Lester has a 2-1 record and a 0.96 WHIP. He has 27 strikeouts over the 26 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 18 hits. He's allowing 6.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.38. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.02 and they have given up 89 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .232 against the Cubs bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 116 batters and walked 62 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.83. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 246 base knocks and 118 earned runs this season. They have given up 37 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 126 hitters and struck out 282 batters. They give up a walk 4.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.2 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.30.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .260, good for 5th in the league. The Cubs hold a .464 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .351, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Kris Bryant comes into this matchup batting .243 with an OBP of .380. He has 27 hits this year along with 19 RBI in 111 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .450 with an OPS+ of 117. Javier Baez is hitting .316 this season and he has an OBP of .350. He has collected 42 hits in 133 at bats while driving in 26 runs. He has an OPS+ of 154 and a slugging percentage of .654. The Cubs as a unit have 277 base hits, including 64 doubles and 49 homers. Chicago has walked 134 times this year and they have struck out on 280 occasions. They have had 225 men left on base and have an OPS of .815. They have scored 5.9 runs per game and totaled 183 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Cubs MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins +185

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here

Read more articles by Guy Bruhn