Miami Marlins at Cincinnati Reds Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 4/11/2019
Thursday, April 11, 2019
Great American Ball Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Pablo Lopez vs. Sonny Gray
The Miami Marlins visit Great American Ball Park on Thursday, April 11, 2019 to play the Cincinnati Reds. The probable starters are Pablo Lopez for the Marlins and Sonny Gray for the Reds.
The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +155 and Cincinnati at -165. The Marlins have a 6-4-1 over/under record and a 5-6-0 run line mark. The Reds are 4-6-0 against the run line and have a 3-7-0 over/under record.
Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 6-4-1 against the over/under
The Miami Marlins are 5-6-0 against the run line
Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Cincinnati Reds are 3-7-0 against the over/under
The Cincinnati Reds are 4-6-0 against the run line
Key Miami Marlins Injuries
04/01/19 LF Garrett Cooper Calf 10-day IL (03/31)
03/28/19 P Riley Ferrell Biceps 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Julian Fernandez Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)
Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries
04/09/19 RF Yasiel Puig Suspension Suspended 2 games
03/30/19 3B Alex Blandino Knee 10-day IL (03/25)
03/27/19 P Alex Wood Back 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 2B Scooter Gennett Groin 60-day IL (03/25)
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Marlins have a 3-8 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Pablo Lopez has a 1-1 record with an earned run average of 6.10 and a WHIP of 1.26 this season. He has 12 strikeouts over his 10.1 innings pitched and he's given up 12 hits. He's allowed 10.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.85. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.59 and they have given up 37 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen and they've struck out 44 hitters and walked 18 batters. As a team, Miami allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 5.16. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 98 base hits and 55 earned runs. They have allowed 13 home runs this season, ranking them 18th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 37 batters and struck out 98. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.41 and their FIP as a unit is 4.17.
As a team Miami is hitting .228, good for 22nd in the league. The Marlins hold a .362 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .285, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 23rd in MLB with 7.4 hits per game. Starlin Castro is hitting .273 with an on-base percentage of .289. He has 12 hits this season in 44 at bats with 4 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .432 and an OPS+ of 91. Jorge Alfaro is hitting .250 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .300. He has totaled 7 hits and he has driven in 6 men in 28 at bats. His OPS+ is 127 while his slugging percentage is at .571. The Marlins have 81 hits, including 15 doubles and 11 home runs. Miami has walked 24 times so far this season and they have struck out 90 times as a unit. They have left 63 men on base and have a team OPS of .647. They score 3 runs per contest and have scored a total of 33 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Cincinnati has a 2-8 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.89, Sonny Gray has a 0-2 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He has 7 strikeouts over the 9.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 8 hits. He's allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.18. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.74 and they have given up 37 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .280 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 28 batters and walked 18 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.3. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 78 base knocks and 32 earned runs this season. They have given up 5 home runs this year, which ranks 30th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 39 hitters and struck out 88 batters. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 3.25.
As a team, they are batting .199, good for 27th in the league. The Reds hold a .370 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .268, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 6.5 hits per contest. Derek Dietrich comes into this matchup batting .227 with an OBP of .292. He has 5 hits this year along with 8 RBI in 22 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .682 with an OPS+ of 136. Eugenio Suarez is hitting .258 this season and he has an OBP of .378. He has collected 8 hits in 31 at bats while driving in 4 runs. He has an OPS+ of 125 and a slugging percentage of .516. The Reds as a unit have 65 base hits, including 17 doubles and 13 homers. Cincinnati has walked 28 times this year and they have struck out on 93 occasions. They have had 55 men left on base and have an OPS of .638. They have scored 3.5 runs per game and totaled 35 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Marlins/Reds MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Marlins +155
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