Miami Marlins at Detroit Tigers MLB Game Picks 5/23/2019

Thursday, May 23, 2019

Comerica Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Trevor Richards vs. Matthew Boyd

Comerica Park is the venue where Miguel Cabrera and the Detroit Tigers (18-27, 4th in AL Central) will take on the Miami Marlins (14-31, 5th in NL East) on Thursday. The Tigers open this contest at -146 while the Marlins are priced at +136. The O/U has been set at 8.5.

The Marlins have been a bad choice for baseball wagerers, having gone 14-31-0 SU. The Tigers are covering 40.0% of the time, going 18-27-0 straight up. The Tigers have been bad for oddsmakers as favorites, going 7-3-0 SU. The Marlins are covering 31.1% of the time as the underdog, having gone 14-31-0 straight up.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins have been an awful Over option for O/U wagerers, having gone 19-25-1.

Miami covers 26.3% of the time as the away team, having gone 5-14-0 straight up.

Important Detroit Tigers Betting Trends

Detroit covers 37.5% of the time at Comerica Park, going 9-15-0 SU.

The Tigers have been an awful Over option for O/U wagerers, having gone 20-25-0.

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

05/22/19 2B Jon Berti Oblique 10-day IL (05/21)
05/12/19 LF Peter O'Brien Ribs 10-day IL (05/11)
05/08/19 P Drew Steckenrider Elbow 60-day IL (05/07)
03/28/19 P Riley Ferrell Biceps 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Julian Fernandez Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)

Key Detroit Tigers Injuries

05/13/19 P Tyson Ross Elbow 10-day IL (05/13)
05/09/19 SS Jordy Mercer Quad 10-day IL (05/09)
05/01/19 P Matt Moore Knee 60-day IL (04/30); is out for season
04/26/19 P Jordan Zimmermann Elbow 10-day IL (04/26)
03/28/19 P Michael Fulmer Elbow 60-day IL (03/23)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 14-31 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Trevor Richards has a 1-5 record with an earned run average of 4.44 and a WHIP of 1.38 this season. He has 44 strikeouts over his 48.2 innings pitched and he's given up 41 hits. He's allowed 7.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.47. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.13 and they have given up 136 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .240 against the bullpen and they've struck out 169 hitters and walked 82 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.47. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 364 base hits and 200 earned runs. They have allowed 59 home runs this season, ranking them 20th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 175 batters and struck out 403. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.47.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .220, good for 28th in the league. The Marlins hold a .316 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .281, which is good for 30th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.3 hits per game. Starlin Castro is hitting .225 with an on-base percentage of .273. He has 39 hits this season in 173 at bats with 12 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .289 and an OPS+ of 59. Brian Anderson is hitting .234 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .312. He has totaled 39 hits and he has driven in 14 men in 167 at bats. His OPS+ is 83 while his slugging percentage is at .335. The Marlins have 327 hits, including 56 doubles and 29 home runs. Miami has walked 114 times so far this season and they have struck out 409 times as a unit. They have left 298 men on base and have a team OPS of .597. They score 2.73 runs per contest and have scored a total of 123 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Detroit has a 18-27 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.41, Matthew Boyd has a 4-4 record and a 1.01 WHIP. He has 73 strikeouts over the 60.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 48 hits. He's allowing 7.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.02. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.57 and they have given up 181 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .273 against the Tigers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 147 batters and walked 81 opposing hitters. As a team, Detroit allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.1 batters per nine innings. They are 25th in the league in team earned run average at 5.02. The Tigers pitchers as a team have surrendered 418 base knocks and 228 earned runs this season. They have given up 67 home runs this year, which ranks 7th in Major League Baseball. Detroit as a staff has walked 164 hitters and struck out 367 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.76.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .217, good for 29th in the league. The Tigers hold a .363 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .285, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.2 hits per contest. Miguel Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .297 with an OBP of .364. He has 49 hits this year along with 18 RBI in 165 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .364 with an OPS+ of 97. Nicholas Castellanos is hitting .253 this season and he has an OBP of .307. He has collected 44 hits in 174 at bats while driving in 13 runs. He has an OPS+ of 95 and a slugging percentage of .431. The Tigers as a unit have 330 base hits, including 86 doubles and 37 homers. Detroit has walked 133 times this year and they have struck out on 447 occasions. They have had 299 men left on base and have an OPS of .648. They have scored 3.33 runs per game and totaled 153 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Tigers MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Tigers -146

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