Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers Baseball Betting Tips 6/5/2019

Wednesday, June 5, 2019

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Sandy Alcantara vs. Jimmy Nelson

Miller Park is the site where Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers (34-26, 1st in NL Central) will play the Miami Marlins (21-36, 5th in NL East) on Wednesday. The Brewers open this matchup at -190 while the Marlins are priced at +178. The O/U is set at 9.

The Marlins have been a bad choice for baseball wagerers, having gone 21-36-0 SU. The Brewers cover 56.7% of the time, going 34-26-0 straight up. The Brewers have been strong for MLB wagerers as a favorite, going 18-12-0 SU. Miami covers 36.8% of the time as the underdog, having gone 21-36-0 straight up.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins have been a terrible Over bet for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 24-30-3.

Miami covers 35.7% of the time as the road team, having gone 10-18-0 straight up.

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers cover 62.1% of the time at Miller Park, going 18-11-0 SU.

The Brewers have been a terrible Over bet for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 25-34-1.

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

6/3/2019 Peter O'Brien RF Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jun 4
6/1/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jun 10
5/31/2019 Neil Walker 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 10
5/29/2019 Jon Berti 3B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 7
5/28/2019 Riley Ferrell RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
5/11/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
2/19/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 15

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

6/2/2019 Jhoulys Chacin SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 11
6/2/2019 Mike Moustakas 2B Hand Probable for Jun 4
6/1/2019 Gio Gonzalez SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jun 8
5/30/2019 Travis Shaw 3B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Jun 4
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 21-36 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara has a 2-5 record with an earned run average of 4.08 and a WHIP of 1.41 this season. He has 41 strikeouts over his 64 innings pitched and he's given up 59 hits. He's allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.67. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.27 and they have given up 181 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen and they've struck out 206 hitters and walked 97 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.44. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 461 base hits and 250 earned runs. They have allowed 72 home runs this season, ranking them 22nd in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 213 batters and struck out 494. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.47.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .233, good for 25th in the league. The Marlins hold a .341 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .293, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 7.8 hits per game. Brian Anderson is hitting .241 with an on-base percentage of .321. He has 51 hits this season in 212 at bats with 21 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .358 and an OPS+ of 89. Miguel Rojas is hitting .258 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .316. He has totaled 48 hits and he has driven in 16 men in 186 at bats. His OPS+ is 73 while his slugging percentage is at .301. The Marlins have 444 hits, including 76 doubles and 43 home runs. Miami has walked 145 times so far this season and they have struck out 493 times as a unit. They have left 375 men on base and have a team OPS of .634. They score 3.32 runs per contest and have scored a total of 189 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 34-26 overall mark this year. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.35 and they have given up 209 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 271 batters and walked 103 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.43. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 520 base knocks and 269 earned runs this season. They have given up 85 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 213 hitters and struck out 551 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.42.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .250, good for 17th in the league. The Brewers hold a .451 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Christian Yelich comes into this matchup batting .313 with an OBP of .425. He has 60 hits this year along with 49 RBI in 192 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .719 with an OPS+ of 192. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .256 this season and he has an OBP of .311. He has collected 60 hits in 234 at bats while driving in 24 runs. He has an OPS+ of 81 and a slugging percentage of .385. The Brewers as a unit have 521 base hits, including 96 doubles and 104 homers. Milwaukee has walked 230 times this year and they have struck out on 586 occasions. They have had 421 men left on base and have an OPS of .782. They have scored 5.07 runs per game and totaled 304 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers -190

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