Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Tips 6/6/2019

Thursday, June 6, 2019

Miller Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Caleb Smith vs. Brandon Woodruff

Lorenzo Cain and the Milwaukee Brewers (34-27, 2nd in NL Central) host the Miami Marlins (22-36, 5th in NL East) at Miller Park on Thursday, June 6, 2019. The Brewers open this matchup at -200 while the Marlins are priced at +185. The over/under opens at 8.5.

The Marlins have been a terrible choice for wagerers, having gone 22-36-0 SU. Milwaukee covers 55.7% of the time, going 34-27-0 straight up. The Brewers have been awful for Vegas oddsmakers as favorites, going 18-13-0 SU. Miami covers 37.9% of the time as an underdog, having gone 22-36-0 straight up.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins have been a solid Under option for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 25-30-3.

Miami covers 37.9% of the time as the road team, having gone 11-18-0 straight up.

Important Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers cover 60.0% of the time at Miller Park, going 18-12-0 SU.

The Brewers have been a bad Over option for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 26-34-1.

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

6/4/2019 Peter O'Brien RF Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jun 11
6/1/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jun 10
5/31/2019 Neil Walker 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 10
5/29/2019 Jon Berti 3B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 7
5/28/2019 Riley Ferrell RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
5/11/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
2/19/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 15

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

6/2/2019 Jhoulys Chacin SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 11
6/1/2019 Gio Gonzalez SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jun 8
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 22-36 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Caleb Smith has a 3-3 record with an earned run average of 3.10 and a WHIP of 0.97 this season. He has 80 strikeouts over his 61 innings pitched and he's given up 41 hits. He's allowed 6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.59. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.19 and they have given up 184 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen and they've struck out 209 hitters and walked 99 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.36. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 467 base hits and 250 earned runs. They have allowed 72 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 216 batters and struck out 504. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.44.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .237, good for 24th in the league. The Marlins hold a .350 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296, which is good for 26th in baseball. They rank 24th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Miguel Rojas is hitting .267 with an on-base percentage of .322. He has 51 hits this season in 191 at bats with 17 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .314 and an OPS+ of 78. Brian Anderson is hitting .240 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .321. He has totaled 52 hits and he has driven in 23 men in 217 at bats. His OPS+ is 91 while his slugging percentage is at .369. The Marlins have 463 hits, including 81 doubles and 46 home runs. Miami has walked 148 times so far this season and they have struck out 502 times as a unit. They have left 382 men on base and have a team OPS of .647. They score 3.53 runs per contest and have scored a total of 205 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Milwaukee has a 34-27 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.82, Brandon Woodruff has a 7-1 record and a 1.20 WHIP. He has 80 strikeouts over the 68.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 63 hits. He's allowing 8.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.15. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.62 and they have given up 221 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .230 against the Brewers bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 274 batters and walked 106 opposing hitters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.59. The Brewers pitchers as a team have surrendered 539 base knocks and 283 earned runs this season. They have given up 88 home runs this year, which ranks 6th in Major League Baseball. Milwaukee as a staff has walked 216 hitters and struck out 560 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.36 while their FIP as a staff is 4.46.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .249, good for 17th in the league. The Brewers hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Lorenzo Cain comes into this matchup batting .256 with an OBP of .310. He has 61 hits this year along with 24 RBI in 238 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .382 with an OPS+ of 80. Christian Yelich is hitting .320 this season and he has an OBP of .432. He has collected 62 hits in 194 at bats while driving in 49 runs. He has an OPS+ of 194 and a slugging percentage of .722. The Brewers as a unit have 527 base hits, including 97 doubles and 104 homers. Milwaukee has walked 233 times this year and they have struck out on 596 occasions. They have had 430 men left on base and have an OPS of .777. They have scored 4.98 runs per game and totaled 304 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Brewers MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins +185

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