Miami Marlins at New York Mets MLB Betting Tips 8/5/2019
Monday, August 5, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Sandy Alcantara vs. Jacob deGrom
Starlin Castro and the Miami Marlins (42-66, 5th in NL East) go to Citi Field on Monday where they'll meet the New York Mets (54-56, 4th in NL East).
The Marlins have been a lousy bet for wagerers, having gone 42-66-0 SU. The Mets are covering 49.1% of the time, going 54-56-0 straight up.
Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Marlins have been a good Under option for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 49-54-5.
The Marlins are covering 39.2% of the time as the away team, having gone 20-31-0 straight up.
Important New York Mets Betting Trends
New York covers 58.3% of the time at Citi Field, going 28-20-0 SU.
The Mets have been a pretty good Over option for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 55-45-10.
Key Miami Marlins Injuries
8/3/2019 Neil Walker 1B Finger Probable for Aug 4
8/1/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
8/1/2019 Austin Brice RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
8/1/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
8/1/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 3
7/31/2019 Ryne Stanek SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/28/2019 JT Riddle CF Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 4
7/23/2019 Pablo Lopez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 6
6/14/2019 Jose Urena SP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
Key New York Mets Injuries
8/3/2019 Juan Lagares CF Illness Probable for Aug 4
8/2/2019 Jed Lowrie 3B Calf Expected to be out until at least Sep 1
8/2/2019 Brandon Nimmo LF Neck Expected to be out until at least Aug 19
7/31/2019 Dominic Smith LF Foot Expected to be out until at least Aug 27
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Marlins have a 42-66 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara has a 4-10 record with an earned run average of 4.54 and a WHIP of 1.48 this season. He has 89 strikeouts over his 123 innings pitched and he's given up 122 hits. He's allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.05. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.62 and they have given up 345 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the bullpen and they've struck out 383 hitters and walked 164 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.37. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 871 base hits and 468 earned runs. They have allowed 138 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 397 batters and struck out 941. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.53.
As a team Miami is hitting .238, good for 27th in the league. The Marlins hold a .363 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Starlin Castro is hitting .249 with an on-base percentage of .278. He has 107 hits this season in 429 at bats with 45 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .359 and an OPS+ of 71. Miguel Rojas is hitting .291 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .343. He has totaled 108 hits and he has driven in 33 men in 371 at bats. His OPS+ is 97 while his slugging percentage is at .383. The Marlins have 869 hits, including 168 doubles and 90 home runs. Miami has walked 252 times so far this season and they have struck out 972 times as a unit. They have left 692 men on base and have a team OPS of .657. They score 3.65 runs per contest and have scored a total of 394 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
New York has a 54-56 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.78, Jacob deGrom has a 6-7 record and a 1.08 WHIP. He has 174 strikeouts over the 136 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 113 hits. He's allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.84. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.23 and they have given up 372 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .262 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 371 batters and walked 174 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.5. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 969 base knocks and 495 earned runs this season. They have given up 141 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 365 hitters and struck out 1,021 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.25.
As a team, they are batting .252, good for 14th in the league. The Mets hold a .429 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .324, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .256 with an OBP of .361. He has 102 hits this year along with 78 RBI in 398 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .580 with an OPS+ of 148. Amed Rosario is hitting .281 this season and he has an OBP of .322. He has collected 114 hits in 406 at bats while driving in 47 runs. He has an OPS+ of 103 and a slugging percentage of .443. The Mets as a unit have 965 base hits, including 185 doubles and 156 homers. New York has walked 353 times this year and they have struck out on 969 occasions. They have had 770 men left on base and have an OPS of .753. They have scored 4.71 runs per game and totaled 518 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Marlins/Mets MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins
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