Miami Marlins at New York Mets MLB Betting Tips 9/25/2019

Wednesday, September 25, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Robert Dugger vs. Jacob deGrom

Starlin Castro and the Miami Marlins (55-101, 5th in NL East) are headed to Citi Field on Wednesday where they'll meet the New York Mets (81-75, 3rd in NL East). The Marlins open this contest at +315 while the Mets are priced at -360. The total opens at 7.5.

The Marlins have been a hot and cold bet for baseball wagerers, having gone 55-101-0 SU. The Mets are covering 51.9% of the time, going 81-75-0 straight up.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins have been a solid Over pick for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 76-71-9.

Miami is covering 33.3% of the time as the visitor, having gone 25-50-0 straight up.

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

New York is covering 57.3% of the time at Citi Field, going 43-32-0 SU.

The Mets have been a solid Over pick for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 73-67-16.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/23/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Out for the season
9/22/2019 Magneuris Sierra CF Hamstring Out for the season
9/21/2019 Austin Brice RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/21/2019 Garrett Cooper 1B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/20/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Out for the season
9/14/2019 JT Riddle CF Forearm Out for the season
9/9/2019 Cesar Puello CF Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/3/2019 Brian Anderson 3B Finger Out for the season
8/8/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/23/2019 Robinson Cano 2B Toe Probable for Sep 24
9/7/2019 Dominic Smith LF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/4/2019 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/14/2019 Jacob Rhame RP Elbow Out for the season
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 55-101 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Robert Dugger has a 0-3 record with an earned run average of 4.45 and a WHIP of 1.30 this season. He has 22 strikeouts over his 32.1 innings pitched and he's given up 27 hits. He's allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.72. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.08 and they have given up 511 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen and they've struck out 540 hitters and walked 254 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.75. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 1,280 base hits and 732 earned runs. They have allowed 228 home runs this season, ranking them 11th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 589 batters and struck out 1,320. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.91.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .241, good for 26th in the league. The Marlins hold a .373 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Starlin Castro is hitting .270 with an on-base percentage of .299. He has 166 hits this season in 614 at bats with 83 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .433 and an OPS+ of 92. Miguel Rojas is hitting .285 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .333. He has totaled 131 hits and he has driven in 46 men in 460 at bats. His OPS+ is 92 while his slugging percentage is at .385. The Marlins have 1,274 hits, including 255 doubles and 136 home runs. Miami has walked 387 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,403 times as a unit. They have left 1,000 men on base and have a team OPS of .673. They score 3.8 runs per contest and have scored a total of 593 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 81-75 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.51, Jacob deGrom has a 10-8 record and a 0.99 WHIP. He has 248 strikeouts over the 197 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 152 hits. He's allowing 6.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.72. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.11 and they have given up 502 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 532 batters and walked 222 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.31. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,360 base knocks and 672 earned runs this season. They have given up 195 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 486 hitters and struck out 1,448 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.12.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 10th in the league. The Mets hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .264 with an OBP of .363. He has 151 hits this year along with 115 RBI in 573 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .585 with an OPS+ of 149. Amed Rosario is hitting .286 this season and he has an OBP of .322. He has collected 170 hits in 595 at bats while driving in 70 runs. He has an OPS+ of 101 and a slugging percentage of .434. The Mets as a unit have 1,391 base hits, including 268 doubles and 232 homers. New York has walked 496 times this year and they have struck out on 1,322 occasions. They have had 1,088 men left on base and have an OPS of .769. They have scored 4.87 runs per game and totaled 760 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins (+315)

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