Miami Marlins at New York Mets MLB Game Picks 9/26/2019

Thursday, September 26, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jordan Yamamoto vs. Zack Wheeler

Citi Field is the venue where Amed Rosario and the New York Mets (82-75, 3rd in NL East) will play the Miami Marlins (55-102, 5th in NL East) on Thursday. The moneyline on this contest has the Marlins priced at +185 and the Mets are at -200. The total opens at 9.5.

The Marlins have been good for oddsmakers, having gone 55-102-0 SU. The Mets cover 52.2% of the time, going 82-75-0 straight up.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins have been a good Over choice for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 77-71-9.

The Marlins cover 32.9% of the time as the visitor, having gone 25-51-0 straight up.

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

New York covers 57.9% of the time at Citi Field, going 44-32-0 SU.

The Mets have been a good Over choice for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 74-67-16.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/23/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Out for the season
9/22/2019 Magneuris Sierra CF Hamstring Out for the season
9/21/2019 Garrett Cooper 1B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/21/2019 Austin Brice RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/20/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Out for the season
9/14/2019 JT Riddle CF Forearm Out for the season
9/9/2019 Cesar Puello CF Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/3/2019 Brian Anderson 3B Finger Out for the season
8/8/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/7/2019 Dominic Smith LF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/4/2019 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/14/2019 Jacob Rhame RP Elbow Out for the season
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 55-102 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jordan Yamamoto has a 4-5 record with an earned run average of 4.83 and a WHIP of 1.18 this season. He has 72 strikeouts over his 72.2 innings pitched and he's given up 53 hits. He's allowed 6.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.78. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.10 and they have given up 514 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen and they've struck out 543 hitters and walked 258 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.75. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 1,289 base hits and 737 earned runs. They have allowed 230 home runs this season, ranking them 10th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 593 batters and struck out 1,329. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.92.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .241, good for 26th in the league. The Marlins hold a .373 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .300, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Miguel Rojas is hitting .284 with an on-base percentage of .332. He has 132 hits this season in 465 at bats with 46 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .383 and an OPS+ of 91. Starlin Castro is hitting .268 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .297. He has totaled 166 hits and he has driven in 83 men in 619 at bats. His OPS+ is 91 while his slugging percentage is at .430. The Marlins have 1,285 hits, including 258 doubles and 137 home runs. Miami has walked 390 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,418 times as a unit. They have left 1,009 men on base and have a team OPS of .673. They score 3.8 runs per contest and have scored a total of 597 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 82-75 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.99, Zack Wheeler has a 11-7 record and a 1.29 WHIP. He has 185 strikeouts over the 187.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 191 hits. He's allowing 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.47. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.04 and they have given up 503 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 540 batters and walked 225 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.3. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,371 base knocks and 676 earned runs this season. They have given up 196 home runs this year, which ranks 23rd in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 489 hitters and struck out 1,463 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.32 while their FIP as a staff is 4.11.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .256, good for 11th in the league. The Mets hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Amed Rosario comes into this matchup batting .285 with an OBP of .322. He has 171 hits this year along with 70 RBI in 599 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .432 with an OPS+ of 101. Pete Alonso is hitting .261 this season and he has an OBP of .360. He has collected 151 hits in 578 at bats while driving in 115 runs. He has an OPS+ of 148 and a slugging percentage of .580. The Mets as a unit have 1,400 base hits, including 269 doubles and 234 homers. New York has walked 500 times this year and they have struck out on 1,331 occasions. They have had 1,098 men left on base and have an OPS of .768. They have scored 4.87 runs per game and totaled 765 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mets (-200)

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