Miami Marlins at New York Mets MLB Picks 9/23/2019

Monday, September 23, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Caleb Smith vs. Steven Matz

Citi Field is the venue where Pete Alonso and the New York Mets (80-74, 3rd in NL East) will play the Miami Marlins (53-101, 5th in NL East) on Monday. The Marlins open this contest at +170 while the Mets are coming in at -180. The total opens at 8.5.

The Marlins have been a dicey choice for wagerers, having gone 53-101-0 SU. New York is covering 51.9% of the time, going 80-74-0 straight up.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins have been a less than ideal Under play for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 75-70-9.

Miami is covering 32.4% of the time as the road team, having gone 24-50-0 straight up.

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

New York is covering 58.1% of the time at Citi Field, going 43-31-0 SU.

The Mets have been a less than ideal Under play for over/under baseball bettors, having gone 72-67-15.

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/21/2019 Garrett Cooper 1B Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/21/2019 Austin Brice RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 26
9/20/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 23
9/20/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Out for the season
9/14/2019 JT Riddle CF Forearm Out for the season
9/9/2019 Cesar Puello CF Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/3/2019 Brian Anderson 3B Finger Out for the season
8/8/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Out for the season

Key New York Mets Injuries

9/7/2019 Dominic Smith LF Foot Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/4/2019 Robert Gsellman RP Triceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
8/14/2019 Jacob Rhame RP Elbow Out for the season
5/23/2019 Yoenis Cespedes CF Ankle Out for the season
5/3/2019 Drew Smith RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 53-101 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Caleb Smith has a 9-10 record with an earned run average of 4.24 and a WHIP of 1.16 this season. He has 164 strikeouts over his 144.1 innings pitched and he's given up 116 hits. He's allowed 7.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.86. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.15 and they have given up 509 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen and they've struck out 532 hitters and walked 249 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.77. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 1,265 base hits and 725 earned runs. They have allowed 227 home runs this season, ranking them 10th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 576 batters and struck out 1,308. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.91.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .241, good for 26th in the league. The Marlins hold a .371 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Starlin Castro is hitting .271 with an on-base percentage of .300. He has 164 hits this season in 606 at bats with 81 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .432 and an OPS+ of 93. Miguel Rojas is hitting .283 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .332. He has totaled 129 hits and he has driven in 45 men in 456 at bats. His OPS+ is 91 while his slugging percentage is at .384. The Marlins have 1,255 hits, including 251 doubles and 133 home runs. Miami has walked 381 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,391 times as a unit. They have left 989 men on base and have a team OPS of .670. They score 3.77 runs per contest and have scored a total of 580 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 80-74 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.16, Steven Matz has a 10-9 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He has 143 strikeouts over the 149.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 152 hits. He's allowing 9.2 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.55. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.14 and they have given up 495 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .257 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 523 batters and walked 217 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.3. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,341 base knocks and 661 earned runs this season. They have given up 191 home runs this year, which ranks 25th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 478 hitters and struck out 1,434 batters. They give up a walk 3.1 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.3 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.10.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 10th in the league. The Mets hold a .440 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 11th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .264 with an OBP of .364. He has 149 hits this year along with 115 RBI in 564 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .589 with an OPS+ of 151. Amed Rosario is hitting .287 this season and he has an OBP of .323. He has collected 168 hits in 586 at bats while driving in 66 runs. He has an OPS+ of 101 and a slugging percentage of .432. The Mets as a unit have 1,373 base hits, including 262 doubles and 228 homers. New York has walked 488 times this year and they have struck out on 1,306 occasions. They have had 1,070 men left on base and have an OPS of .768. They have scored 4.87 runs per game and totaled 750 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins (+170)

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