Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies Baseball Betting Tips 6/21/2019

Friday, June 21, 2019

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Sandy Alcantara vs. Aaron Nola

Citizens Bank Park is the venue where Cesar Hernandez and the Philadelphia Phillies (39-34, 2nd in NL East) will play the Miami Marlins (26-46, 5th in NL East) on Friday. The Phillies open this matchup at -225 while the Marlins are priced at +207. The O/U opens at 8.5.

The Marlins have been a lousy play for bettors, having gone 26-46-0 SU. Philadelphia is covering 53.4% of the time, going 39-34-0 straight up. The Phillies have been a strong option for baseball bettors as the favorite, going 31-20-0 SU. The Marlins are covering 35.7% of the time as the underdog, having gone 25-45-0 straight up.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins have been a hot and cold Over bet for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 32-37-3.

The Marlins are covering 38.2% of the time on the road, having gone 13-21-0 straight up.

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

Philadelphia is covering 62.2% of the time at Citizens Bank Park, going 23-14-0 SU.

The Phillies have been a hot and cold Over bet for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 33-38-2.

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

6/19/2019 Garrett Cooper RF Triceps Probable for Jun 20
6/19/2019 Pablo Lopez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/17/2019 Neil Walker 1B Quadriceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/17/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/15/2019 Caleb Smith SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jun 29
6/14/2019 Martin Prado 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 23
6/14/2019 Jose Urena SP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/12/2019 Riley Ferrell RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 29
6/12/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/12/2019 Jon Berti 3B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/11/2019 Peter O'Brien RF Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/7/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 30

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

6/19/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
6/18/2019 Adam Haseley CF Groin Expected to be out until at least Jun 27
6/17/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
6/17/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/14/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/7/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/4/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
6/4/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season
5/29/2019 Adam Morgan RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 21

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 26-46 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara has a 3-6 record with an earned run average of 3.73 and a WHIP of 1.39 this season. He has 58 strikeouts over his 82 innings pitched and he's given up 76 hits. He's allowed 8.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.21. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.16 and they have given up 224 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .246 against the bullpen and they've struck out 247 hitters and walked 123 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.27. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 584 base hits and 306 earned runs. They have allowed 85 home runs this season, ranking them 26th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 263 batters and struck out 613. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.36.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .236, good for 25th in the league. The Marlins hold a .347 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .294, which is good for 27th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.0 hits per game. Miguel Rojas is hitting .272 with an on-base percentage of .332. He has 65 hits this season in 239 at bats with 20 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .335 and an OPS+ of 86. Brian Anderson is hitting .243 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .328. He has totaled 65 hits and he has driven in 30 men in 268 at bats. His OPS+ is 95 while his slugging percentage is at .381. The Marlins have 574 hits, including 108 doubles and 53 home runs. Miami has walked 176 times so far this season and they have struck out 634 times as a unit. They have left 473 men on base and have a team OPS of .642. They score 3.43 runs per contest and have scored a total of 247 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 39-34 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.89, Aaron Nola has a 6-1 record and a 1.51 WHIP. He has 90 strikeouts over the 81 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 86 hits. He's allowing 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.52. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.69 and they have given up 254 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .264 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 251 batters and walked 104 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.49. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 656 base knocks and 325 earned runs this season. They have given up 121 home runs this year, which ranks 4th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 250 hitters and struck out 621 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.39 while their FIP as a staff is 4.96.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .241, good for 22nd in the league. The Phillies hold a .414 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .320, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.2 hits per contest. Cesar Hernandez comes into this matchup batting .264 with an OBP of .321. He has 71 hits this year along with 33 RBI in 269 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .424 with an OPS+ of 92. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .268 this season and he has an OBP of .395. He has collected 69 hits in 257 at bats while driving in 49 runs. He has an OPS+ of 134 and a slugging percentage of .514. The Phillies as a unit have 595 base hits, including 141 doubles and 87 homers. Philadelphia has walked 269 times this year and they have struck out on 628 occasions. They have had 501 men left on base and have an OPS of .734. They have scored 4.77 runs per game and totaled 348 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Phillies -225

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