Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies Baseball Betting Tips 9/28/2019

Saturday, September 28, 2019

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Caleb Smith vs. Zach Eflin

Miguel Rojas and the Miami Marlins (56-103, 5th in NL East) head to Citizens Bank Park on Saturday where they'll take on the Philadelphia Phillies (79-80, 4th in NL East). The line on this matchup has the Marlins coming in at +155 and the Phillies are at -165. The total is set at 9.

The Marlins have been solid for Las Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 56-103-0 SU. Philadelphia is covering 49.7% of the time, going 79-80-0 straight up.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins have been a less than ideal Under option for O/U bettors, having gone 78-72-9.

The Marlins are covering 33.3% of the time as the visitor, having gone 26-52-0 straight up.

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

Philadelphia is covering 55.1% of the time at Citizens Bank Park, going 43-35-0 SU.

The Phillies have been a less than ideal Under option for O/U bettors, having gone 72-81-6.

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/26/2019 Cesar Puello CF Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/26/2019 Austin Brice RP Forearm Out for the season
9/23/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Out for the season
9/22/2019 Magneuris Sierra CF Hamstring Out for the season
9/21/2019 Garrett Cooper 1B Knee Probable for Sep 27
9/20/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Out for the season
9/14/2019 JT Riddle CF Forearm Out for the season
9/3/2019 Brian Anderson 3B Finger Out for the season
8/8/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/26/2019 Jean Segura SS Ankle Expected to be out until at least Sep 28
9/26/2019 Aaron Nola SP Rest Out for the season
9/25/2019 J.T C Knee Out for the season
9/22/2019 Roman Quinn CF Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/18/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Out for the season
9/17/2019 Corey Dickerson LF Foot Out for the season
9/10/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 27
9/1/2019 Adam Morgan RP Elbow Out for the season
9/1/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Finger Out for the season
8/31/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Out for the season
8/20/2019 Jake Arrieta SP Elbow Out for the season
8/17/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
7/23/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Forearm Out for the season
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 56-103 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Caleb Smith has a 10-10 record with an earned run average of 4.31 and a WHIP of 1.19 this season. He has 167 strikeouts over his 150.1 innings pitched and he's given up 123 hits. He's allowed 7.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.92. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.10 and they have given up 524 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the bullpen and they've struck out 552 hitters and walked 261 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.76. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 1,306 base hits and 748 earned runs. They have allowed 231 home runs this season, ranking them 11th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 601 batters and struck out 1,351. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.90.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .240, good for 26th in the league. The Marlins hold a .374 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Miguel Rojas is hitting .279 with an on-base percentage of .327. He has 132 hits this season in 473 at bats with 46 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .376 and an OPS+ of 88. Starlin Castro is hitting .267 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .296. He has totaled 167 hits and he has driven in 83 men in 625 at bats. His OPS+ is 91 while his slugging percentage is at .429. The Marlins have 1,295 hits, including 262 doubles and 141 home runs. Miami has walked 392 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,439 times as a unit. They have left 1,014 men on base and have a team OPS of .672. They score 3.8 runs per contest and have scored a total of 604 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 79-80 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.16, Zach Eflin has a 9-13 record and a 1.36 WHIP. He has 123 strikeouts over the 155.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 166 hits. He's allowing 9.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.9. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.52 and they have given up 559 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 565 batters and walked 235 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.56. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,421 base knocks and 720 earned runs this season. They have given up 253 home runs this year, which ranks 5th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 543 hitters and struck out 1,362 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.91.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .245, good for 22nd in the league. The Phillies hold a .426 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 21st in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Bryce Harper comes into this matchup batting .258 with an OBP of .373. He has 144 hits this year along with 109 RBI in 558 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .504 with an OPS+ of 124. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .229 this season and he has an OBP of .365. He has collected 128 hits in 559 at bats while driving in 84 runs. He has an OPS+ of 112 and a slugging percentage of .462. The Phillies as a unit have 1,335 base hits, including 305 doubles and 210 homers. Philadelphia has walked 548 times this year and they have struck out on 1,426 occasions. They have had 1,096 men left on base and have an OPS of .744. They have scored 4.76 runs per game and totaled 757 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Phillies (-165)

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