Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies Baseball Betting Tips 9/29/2019

Sunday, September 29, 2019

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Sandy Alcantara vs. Jose Alvarez

Citizens Bank Park is the venue where Rhys Hoskins and the Philadelphia Phillies (80-80, 4th in NL East) will take on the Miami Marlins (56-104, 5th in NL East) on Sunday. The Phillies open this contest at -165 while the Marlins are coming in at +155. The O/U has been set at 10.5.

The Marlins have been hot and cold for MLB bettors, having gone 56-104-0 SU. The Phillies cover 50.0% of the time, going 80-80-0 straight up.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins have been a decent Over pick for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 78-72-10.

The Marlins cover 32.9% of the time on the road, having gone 26-53-0 straight up.

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

Philadelphia is covering 55.7% of the time at Citizens Bank Park, going 44-35-0 SU.

The Phillies have been a decent Over pick for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 72-81-7.

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/27/2019 Cesar Puello CF Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 28
9/27/2019 Garrett Cooper 1B Knee Probable for Sep 28
9/27/2019 Lewis Brinson CF Foot Probable for Sep 28
9/26/2019 Austin Brice RP Forearm Out for the season
9/23/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Out for the season
9/22/2019 Magneuris Sierra CF Hamstring Out for the season
9/20/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Out for the season
9/14/2019 JT Riddle CF Forearm Out for the season
9/3/2019 Brian Anderson 3B Finger Out for the season
8/8/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

9/27/2019 Scott Kingery CF Undisclosed Probable for Sep 28
9/27/2019 Roman Quinn CF Groin Expected to be out until at least Sep 28
9/27/2019 Seranthony Dominguez RP Elbow Out for the season
9/26/2019 Aaron Nola SP Rest Out for the season
9/26/2019 Jean Segura SS Ankle Probable for Sep 28
9/25/2019 J.T C Knee Out for the season
9/18/2019 Victor Arano RP Elbow Out for the season
9/17/2019 Corey Dickerson LF Foot Out for the season
9/1/2019 Adam Morgan RP Elbow Out for the season
9/1/2019 Jerad Eickhoff SP Finger Out for the season
8/31/2019 Pat Neshek RP Hamstring Out for the season
8/20/2019 Jake Arrieta SP Elbow Out for the season
8/17/2019 David Robertson RP Elbow Out for the season
7/23/2019 Tommy Hunter RP Forearm Out for the season
6/24/2019 Andrew McCutchen LF Knee Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 56-104 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara has a 5-14 record with an earned run average of 3.95 and a WHIP of 1.31 this season. He has 146 strikeouts over his 191.1 innings pitched and he's given up 171 hits. He's allowed 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.57. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.01 and they have given up 527 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .248 against the bullpen and they've struck out 563 hitters and walked 267 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.74. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 1,317 base hits and 752 earned runs. They have allowed 231 home runs this season, ranking them 11th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 607 batters and struck out 1,365. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.88.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .241, good for 26th in the league. The Marlins hold a .374 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 8.2 hits per game. Starlin Castro is hitting .269 with an on-base percentage of .299. He has 170 hits this season in 631 at bats with 84 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .431 and an OPS+ of 92. Miguel Rojas is hitting .284 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .332. He has totaled 136 hits and he has driven in 46 men in 479 at bats. His OPS+ is 91 while his slugging percentage is at .380. The Marlins have 1,312 hits, including 263 doubles and 142 home runs. Miami has walked 392 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,452 times as a unit. They have left 1,026 men on base and have a team OPS of .673. They score 3.8 runs per contest and have scored a total of 608 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 80-80 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.41, Jose Alvarez has a 3-4 record and a 1.43 WHIP. He has 49 strikeouts over the 58 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 65 hits. He's allowing 10.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.31. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.43 and they have given up 569 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 575 batters and walked 235 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.54. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,438 base knocks and 724 earned runs this season. They have given up 254 home runs this year, which ranks 5th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 543 hitters and struck out 1,375 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.89.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .245, good for 22nd in the league. The Phillies hold a .425 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .318, which is good for 20th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Rhys Hoskins comes into this matchup batting .227 with an OBP of .365. He has 128 hits this year along with 85 RBI in 563 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .458 with an OPS+ of 111. Bryce Harper is hitting .259 this season and he has an OBP of .372. He has collected 146 hits in 564 at bats while driving in 111 runs. He has an OPS+ of 124 and a slugging percentage of .507. The Phillies as a unit have 1,346 base hits, including 309 doubles and 210 homers. Philadelphia has walked 554 times this year and they have struck out on 1,440 occasions. They have had 1,110 men left on base and have an OPS of .744. They have scored 4.76 runs per game and totaled 762 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Phillies (-165)

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