Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Game Picks 4/25/2019
Thursday, April 25, 2019
Citizens Bank Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Caleb Smith vs. Aaron Nola
The Miami Marlins visit Citizens Bank Park on Thursday, April 25, 2019 to play the Philadelphia Phillies. The probable starters are Caleb Smith for the Marlins and Aaron Nola for the Phillies.
The opening line for this matchup has Miami at +212 and Philadelphia at -230. The Marlins have a 10-12-1 over/under record and a 10-13-0 run line mark. The Phillies are 10-13-0 against the run line and have a 12-10-1 over/under record.
Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends
The Miami Marlins are 10-12-1 against the over/under
The Miami Marlins are 10-13-0 against the run line
Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends
The Philadelphia Phillies are 12-10-1 against the over/under
The Philadelphia Phillies are 10-13-0 against the run line
Key Miami Marlins Injuries
04/16/19 P Austin Brice Stomach 10-day IL (04/16)
04/01/19 LF Garrett Cooper Calf 10-day IL (03/31)
03/28/19 P Riley Ferrell Biceps 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Julian Fernandez Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)
Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries
04/20/19 SS Jean Segura Hamstring 10-day IL (04/17)
04/20/19 2B Scott Kingery Hamstring 10-day IL (04/20)
04/20/19 P Victor Arano Elbow 10-day IL (04/19)
04/18/19 CF Odubel Herrera Hamstring 10-day IL (04/18)
04/17/19 P Tommy Hunter Forearm 60-day IL (03/25)
04/15/19 P David Robertson Elbow 10-day IL (04/15)
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Marlins have a 7-16 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Caleb Smith has a 2-0 record with an earned run average of 2.35 and a WHIP of 0.87 this season. He has 29 strikeouts over his 23 innings pitched and he's given up 14 hits. He's allowed 5.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 2.51. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.78 and they have given up 71 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen and they've struck out 91 hitters and walked 36 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.48. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 196 base hits and 103 earned runs. They have allowed 26 home runs this season, ranking them 21st in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 77 batters and struck out 217. They have walked 3.3 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 3.99.
Hitting Statistics
As a team Miami is hitting .217, good for 27th in the league. The Marlins hold a .330 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .279, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 7.1 hits per game. Jorge Alfaro is hitting .281 with an on-base percentage of .328. He has 16 hits this season in 57 at bats with 7 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .491 and an OPS+ of 123. Miguel Rojas is hitting .281 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .338. He has totaled 18 hits and he has driven in 6 men in 64 at bats. His OPS+ is 98 while his slugging percentage is at .375. The Marlins have 164 hits, including 28 doubles and 19 home runs. Miami has walked 58 times so far this season and they have struck out 220 times as a unit. They have left 144 men on base and have a team OPS of .609. They score 2.74 runs per contest and have scored a total of 63 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Philadelphia has a 12-11 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 6.84, Aaron Nola has a 2-0 record and a 1.68 WHIP. He has 28 strikeouts over the 25 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 30 hits. He's allowing 10.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 6.08. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.31 and they have given up 85 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 92 batters and walked 33 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 19th in the league in team earned run average at 4.59. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 222 base knocks and 108 earned runs this season. They have given up 36 home runs this year, which ranks 8th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 79 hitters and struck out 206 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.64.
Hitting Statistics
As a team, they are batting .249, good for 16th in the league. The Phillies hold a .424 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 11th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Maikel Franco comes into this matchup batting .275 with an OBP of .372. He has 22 hits this year along with 18 RBI in 80 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .563 with an OPS+ of 140. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .262 this season and he has an OBP of .392. He has collected 22 hits in 84 at bats while driving in 18 runs. He has an OPS+ of 137 and a slugging percentage of .524. The Phillies as a unit have 201 base hits, including 45 doubles and 30 homers. Philadelphia has walked 106 times this year and they have struck out on 210 occasions. They have had 182 men left on base and have an OPS of .764. They have scored 5.09 runs per game and totaled 117 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Marlins/Phillies MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Phillies -230
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