Miami Marlins at Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Game Picks 9/4/2019

Wednesday, September 4, 2019

PNC Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Robert Dugger vs. Trevor Williams

Starling Marte and the Pittsburgh Pirates (60-77, 5th in NL Central) host the Miami Marlins (48-88, 5th in NL East) at PNC Park on Wednesday, September 4, 2019. The Marlins open this contest at +168 while the Pirates are priced at -178. The O/U opens at 9.

The Marlins have been hot and cold for MLB wagerers, having gone 48-88-0 SU. Pittsburgh is covering 43.8% of the time, going 60-77-0 straight up.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins have been a pretty good Over play for over/under bettors, having gone 64-64-8.

The Marlins are covering 30.8% of the time away from home, having gone 20-45-0 straight up.

Important Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

Pittsburgh is covering 44.6% of the time at PNC Park, going 29-36-0 SU.

The Pirates have been a rough Under play for over/under bettors, having gone 78-55-4.

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Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/2/2019 Cesar Puello CF Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 4
9/1/2019 JT Riddle CF Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 5
8/28/2019 Jordan Yamamoto SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/27/2019 Austin Brice RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 6
8/26/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/25/2019 Brian Anderson 3B Finger Out for the season
8/8/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Out for the season
8/1/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 3

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

8/29/2019 Yefry Ramirez RP Calf Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/29/2019 Nick Burdi RP Biceps Out for the season
8/29/2019 Chris Stratton RP Side Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/28/2019 Gregory Polanco RF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 7
8/27/2019 Chris Archer SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/14/2019 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Out for the season
8/8/2019 Lonnie Chisenhall RF Calf Out for the season
3/28/2019 Edgar Santana RP Elbow Out for the season
3/1/2019 Chad Kuhl SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 48-88 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Robert Dugger has a 0-1 record with an earned run average of 4.50 and a WHIP of 1.08 this season. He has 10 strikeouts over his 12 innings pitched and he's given up 8 hits. He's allowed 6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 6.55. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.04 and they have given up 450 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the bullpen and they've struck out 476 hitters and walked 220 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.77. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 1,108 base hits and 641 earned runs. They have allowed 206 home runs this season, ranking them 8th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 514 batters and struck out 1,166. They have walked 3.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.96.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .239, good for 28th in the league. The Marlins hold a .368 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Starlin Castro is hitting .267 with an on-base percentage of .290. He has 143 hits this season in 536 at bats with 72 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .407 and an OPS+ of 83. Garrett Cooper is hitting .270 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .338. He has totaled 92 hits and he has driven in 43 men in 341 at bats. His OPS+ is 100 while his slugging percentage is at .419. The Marlins have 1,097 hits, including 214 doubles and 118 home runs. Miami has walked 322 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,245 times as a unit. They have left 860 men on base and have a team OPS of .663. They score 3.69 runs per contest and have scored a total of 502 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Pittsburgh has a 60-77 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 5.26, Trevor Williams has a 7-6 record and a 1.39 WHIP. He has 90 strikeouts over the 119.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 133 hits. He's allowing 10 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.84. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.84 and they have given up 516 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .253 against the Pirates bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 575 batters and walked 239 opposing hitters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 9.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.06. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,268 base knocks and 683 earned runs this season. They have given up 202 home runs this year, which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 476 hitters and struck out 1,219 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.72.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .268, good for 5th in the league. The Pirates hold a .430 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 18th in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.4 hits per contest. Starling Marte comes into this matchup batting .295 with an OBP of .342. He has 155 hits this year along with 79 RBI in 525 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .505 with an OPS+ of 118. Josh Bell is hitting .280 this season and he has an OBP of .366. He has collected 139 hits in 496 at bats while driving in 110 runs. He has an OPS+ of 142 and a slugging percentage of .579. The Pirates as a unit have 1,283 base hits, including 273 doubles and 151 homers. Pittsburgh has walked 365 times this year and they have struck out on 1,031 occasions. They have had 940 men left on base and have an OPS of .755. They have scored 4.77 runs per game and totaled 654 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Pirates MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Pirates (-178)

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