» MLB Picks » Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals MLB Betting Tips 7/3/2019

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals MLB Betting Tips 7/3/2019

by Guy Bruhn - 7/2/2019

Wednesday, July 3, 2019

Nationals Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Sandy Alcantara vs. Stephen Strasburg

Anthony Rendon and the Washington Nationals (42-41, 3rd in NL East) play the Miami Marlins (32-50, 5th in NL East) at Nationals Park on Wednesday, July 3, 2019. The Nationals open this contest at -265 while the Marlins are priced at +242. The O/U is set at 8.5.

The Marlins have been bad for baseball bettors, having gone 32-50-0 SU. Washington covers 50.6% of the time, going 42-41-0 straight up. The Nationals have been very good for bettors as the favorite, going 31-24-0 SU. Miami has went 31-49-0 straight up as the underdog, so they are covering 38.8% of the time.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins have been a hot and cold Over bet for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 38-40-4.

Miami covers 44.7% of the time as the away team, having gone 17-21-0 straight up.

Important Washington Nationals Betting Trends

Washington covers 52.5% of the time at Nationals Park, going 21-19-0 SU.

The Nationals have been a hot and cold Under bet for O/U MLB bettors, having gone 42-35-6.

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

6/30/2019 Jon Berti 3B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/30/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 4
6/30/2019 Caleb Smith SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 6
6/30/2019 Pablo Lopez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
6/28/2019 Tayron Guerrero RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/28/2019 Martin Prado 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 7
6/21/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
6/14/2019 Jose Urena SP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/12/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

6/27/2019 Kyle Barraclough RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
6/27/2019 Rafael Bautista RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/25/2019 Jeremy Hellickson SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
6/13/2019 Austen Williams RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 17
6/13/2019 Justin Miller RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 3
6/13/2019 Koda Glover RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 7

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 32-50 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Sandy Alcantara has a 4-7 record with an earned run average of 3.86 and a WHIP of 1.40 this season. He has 65 strikeouts over his 95.2 innings pitched and he's given up 91 hits. He's allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.54. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.16 and they have given up 265 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the bullpen and they've struck out 286 hitters and walked 132 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 13th in the league in team earned run average at 4.38. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 674 base hits and 358 earned runs. They have allowed 98 home runs this season, ranking them 27th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 297 batters and struck out 703. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.40.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .239, good for 25th in the league. The Marlins hold a .358 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297, which is good for 28th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Miguel Rojas is hitting .287 with an on-base percentage of .350. He has 80 hits this season in 279 at bats with 23 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .358 and an OPS+ of 95. Brian Anderson is hitting .255 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .339. He has totaled 78 hits and he has driven in 38 men in 306 at bats. His OPS+ is 108 while his slugging percentage is at .428. The Marlins have 666 hits, including 132 doubles and 64 home runs. Miami has walked 199 times so far this season and they have struck out 730 times as a unit. They have left 530 men on base and have a team OPS of .655. They score 3.65 runs per contest and have scored a total of 299 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Washington has a 42-41 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.88, Stephen Strasburg has a 9-4 record and a 1.07 WHIP. He has 124 strikeouts over the 109 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 90 hits. He's allowing 7.4 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.36. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.30 and they have given up 263 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the Nationals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 251 batters and walked 112 opposing hitters. As a team, Washington allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.57. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 698 base knocks and 372 earned runs this season. They have given up 100 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. Washington as a staff has walked 262 hitters and struck out 786 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.08.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .253, good for 16th in the league. The Nationals hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Anthony Rendon comes into this matchup batting .311 with an OBP of .398. He has 80 hits this year along with 58 RBI in 257 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .630 with an OPS+ of 157. Adam Eaton is hitting .279 this season and he has an OBP of .364. He has collected 85 hits in 305 at bats while driving in 21 runs. He has an OPS+ of 93 and a slugging percentage of .384. The Nationals as a unit have 708 base hits, including 133 doubles and 116 homers. Washington has walked 270 times this year and they have struck out on 709 occasions. They have had 550 men left on base and have an OPS of .759. They have scored 4.99 runs per game and totaled 414 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Nationals MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins +242

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Pick:	OVER 2.5 (-130)
Start:	May 10, 2025 @ 8:30 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp MLS Soccer Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Dallas/Salt Lake OVER 2.5 (-130) (8:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 10) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time) These sides are nothing to write home about offensive, but their defenses are bad enough where both sides should have plenty of opportunities, and these sides have a strong history for high scoring matches. These are two of the worst defensive sides in MLS and combine to allow more than three goals per match. Dallas is coming off a road loss to San Diego where they conceded five goals. They were held scoreless in that one, but they should put an emphasis on scoring here and home pitch should help in that regard, and Salt Lake have given up five goals in their last three on the road. There’s a great chance Dallas could get two or more here. Salt Lake have scored in three straight on the road, amassing five goals in those matches. So there’s a good chance they will get at least one, and multiples is not out of the question. Four of the last five meetings have gone over the posted number, and three of those matches have seen four or more goals scored. We think we could see a result where both sides had multiple goals, but we are confident both will combine for three or more, and this price is more than fair for Saturday’s clash. Read More Read Less