Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals MLB Point Spread Picks 7/4/2019

Thursday, July 4, 2019

Nationals Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Elieser Hernandez vs. Anibal Sanchez

Anthony Rendon and the Washington Nationals (43-41, 3rd in NL East) host the Miami Marlins (32-51, 5th in NL East) at Nationals Park on Thursday, July 4, 2019. The Marlins open this game at +180 while the Nationals are coming in at -192. The over/under has been set at 10.

The Marlins have been great for oddsmakers, having gone 32-51-0 SU. The Nationals cover 51.2% of the time, going 43-41-0 straight up. The Nationals have been great for MLB wagerers as a favorite, going 32-24-0 SU. Miami has gone 31-50-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 38.3% of the time.

Valuable Miami Marlins Betting Trends

The Marlins have been a dicey Over bet for O/U bettors, having gone 38-41-4.

The Marlins cover 43.6% of the time as the away team, having gone 17-22-0 straight up.

Important Washington Nationals Betting Trends

Washington is covering 53.7% of the time at Nationals Park, going 22-19-0 SU.

The Nationals have been a dicey Under bet for O/U bettors, having gone 42-36-6.

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

7/2/2019 Brian Anderson 3B Elbow Probable for Jul 3
7/2/2019 Caleb Smith SP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 5
6/30/2019 Jon Berti 3B Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/30/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 4
6/30/2019 Pablo Lopez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
6/28/2019 Martin Prado 1B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jul 7
6/28/2019 Tayron Guerrero RP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/21/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
6/14/2019 Jose Urena SP Back Expected to be out until at least Aug 13
6/12/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12

Key Washington Nationals Injuries

7/2/2019 Kyle Barraclough RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/27/2019 Rafael Bautista RF Knee Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/25/2019 Jeremy Hellickson SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
6/13/2019 Koda Glover RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Aug 7
6/13/2019 Justin Miller RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 3
6/13/2019 Austen Williams RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 17

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Marlins have a 32-51 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Elieser Hernandez has a 1-2 record with an earned run average of 4.07 and a WHIP of 1.11 this season. He has 26 strikeouts over his 24.1 innings pitched and he's given up 21 hits. He's allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.2. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.00 and they have given up 270 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .247 against the bullpen and they've struck out 292 hitters and walked 133 batters. As a team, Miami allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.35. The Marlins pitchers collectively have given up 682 base hits and 360 earned runs. They have allowed 99 home runs this season, ranking them 27th in the league. Miami as a pitching staff has walked 299 batters and struck out 711. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.6 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.39.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Miami is hitting .239, good for 26th in the league. The Marlins hold a .357 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .296, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Miguel Rojas is hitting .294 with an on-base percentage of .356. He has 83 hits this season in 282 at bats with 24 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .365 and an OPS+ of 98. Brian Anderson is hitting .254 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .338. He has totaled 78 hits and he has driven in 38 men in 307 at bats. His OPS+ is 107 while his slugging percentage is at .427. The Marlins have 673 hits, including 133 doubles and 64 home runs. Miami has walked 200 times so far this season and they have struck out 739 times as a unit. They have left 534 men on base and have a team OPS of .654. They score 3.63 runs per contest and have scored a total of 301 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Washington has a 43-41 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.82, Anibal Sanchez has a 4-6 record and a 1.33 WHIP. He has 73 strikeouts over the 77.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 73 hits. He's allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.41. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.28 and they have given up 264 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the Nationals bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 253 batters and walked 113 opposing hitters. As a team, Washington allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.54. The Nationals pitchers as a team have surrendered 705 base knocks and 374 earned runs this season. They have given up 100 home runs this year, which ranks 26th in Major League Baseball. Washington as a staff has walked 263 hitters and struck out 795 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.05.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .252, good for 16th in the league. The Nationals hold a .433 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.5 hits per contest. Anthony Rendon comes into this matchup batting .307 with an OBP of .393. He has 80 hits this year along with 58 RBI in 261 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .621 with an OPS+ of 154. Adam Eaton is hitting .278 this season and he has an OBP of .363. He has collected 86 hits in 309 at bats while driving in 21 runs. He has an OPS+ of 92 and a slugging percentage of .382. The Nationals as a unit have 716 base hits, including 135 doubles and 117 homers. Washington has walked 272 times this year and they have struck out on 717 occasions. They have had 558 men left on base and have an OPS of .758. They have scored 4.96 runs per game and totaled 417 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Marlins/Nationals MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins +180

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