Milwaukee Brewers at Arizona Diamondbacks MLB Betting Tips 7/18/2019
Thursday, July 18, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Zach Davies vs. Merrill Kelly
Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers (49-47, 2nd in NL Central) travel to Chase Field on Thursday where they'll meet the Arizona Diamondbacks (48-47, 2nd in NL West). The Diamondbacks open this game at -103 while the Brewers are priced at -107. The total opens at 9.5.
The Brewers have been a solid pick for bettors, having gone 49-47-0 SU. Arizona is covering 50.5% of the time, going 48-47-0 straight up. The Brewers have been solid for baseball bettors as a favorite, going 30-26-0 SU. Arizona is covering 48.3% of the time as an underdog, having gone 29-31-0 straight up.
Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Brewers have been a less than ideal Over choice for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 43-49-4.
Milwaukee is covering 43.5% of the time as the visitor, having gone 20-26-0 straight up.
Important Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends
Arizona is covering 47.6% of the time at Chase Field, going 20-22-0 SU.
The Diamondbacks have been a decent Over choice for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 46-45-4.
Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries
7/15/2019 Corbin Burnes RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/12/2019 Jimmy Nelson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 23
6/27/2019 Gio Gonzalez SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Arizona Diamondbacks Injuries
7/15/2019 Jon Duplantier RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
7/14/2019 David Peralta LF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
7/14/2019 Wilmer Flores 2B Foot Expected to be out until at least Jul 21
7/13/2019 Luke Weaver SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 5
7/13/2019 Taylor Clarke SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/27/2019 Steven Souza RF Knee Out for the season
5/30/2019 Taijuan Walker SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Aug 1
3/11/2019 Silvino Bracho RP Elbow Out for the season
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Brewers have a 49-47 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Zach Davies has a 7-2 record with an earned run average of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.33 this season. He has 68 strikeouts over his 102.2 innings pitched and he's given up 105 hits. He's allowed 9.2 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.27. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.57 and they have given up 342 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .233 against the bullpen and they've struck out 428 hitters and walked 163 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 16th in the league in team earned run average at 4.62. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 852 base hits and 446 earned runs. They have allowed 131 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 329 batters and struck out 894. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.36.
As a team Milwaukee is hitting .248, good for 19th in the league. The Brewers hold a .448 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.6 hits per game. Christian Yelich is hitting .332 with an on-base percentage of .431. He has 107 hits this season in 322 at bats with 68 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .705 and an OPS+ of 186. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .250 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .311. He has totaled 90 hits and he has driven in 31 men in 360 at bats. His OPS+ is 72 while his slugging percentage is at .353. The Brewers have 821 hits, including 162 doubles and 161 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 364 times so far this season and they have struck out 913 times as a unit. They have left 686 men on base and have a team OPS of .777. They score 4.81 runs per contest and have scored a total of 462 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Arizona has a 48-47 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.93, Merrill Kelly has a 7-9 record and a 1.27 WHIP. He has 86 strikeouts over the 110 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 109 hits. He's allowing 8.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.41. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.33 and they have given up 318 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Diamondbacks bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 323 batters and walked 138 opposing hitters. As a team, Arizona allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.6 batters per nine innings. They are 11th in the league in team earned run average at 4.19. The Diamondbacks pitchers as a team have surrendered 803 base knocks and 400 earned runs this season. They have given up 115 home runs this year, which ranks 24th in Major League Baseball. Arizona as a staff has walked 303 hitters and struck out 822 batters. They give up a walk 3.2 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.29 while their FIP as a staff is 4.21.
As a team, they are batting .257, good for 10th in the league. The Diamondbacks hold a .445 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .321, which is good for 19th in baseball. They rank 6th in MLB with 9.1 hits per contest. Ketel Marte comes into this matchup batting .310 with an OBP of .363. He has 113 hits this year along with 55 RBI in 364 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .563 with an OPS+ of 134. Eduardo Escobar is hitting .291 this season and he has an OBP of .347. He has collected 105 hits in 361 at bats while driving in 68 runs. He has an OPS+ of 124 and a slugging percentage of .537. The Diamondbacks as a unit have 862 base hits, including 183 doubles and 134 homers. Arizona has walked 288 times this year and they have struck out on 808 occasions. They have had 658 men left on base and have an OPS of .766. They have scored 5.06 runs per game and totaled 481 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Brewers/Diamondbacks MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Brewers -107
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