Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves Baseball Betting Tips 5/17/2019

Friday, May 17, 2019

SunTrust Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jhoulys Chacin vs. Kevin Gausman

Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers (26-19, 2nd in NL Central) head to SunTrust Park on Friday where they'll meet the Atlanta Braves (22-21, 2nd in NL East). The odds on this matchup have the Brewers priced at +120 and the Braves are at -130. The total opens at 9.

The Brewers have been a strong pick for MLB wagerers, having gone 26-19-0 SU. The Braves are covering 51.2% of the time, going 22-21-0 straight up. The Braves have been a strong pick for MLB wagerers as a favorite, going 15-11-0 SU. Milwaukee has went 13-11-0 straight up as the underdog, so they are covering 54.2% of the time.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers have been a strong Under bet for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 17-27-1.

Milwaukee covers 47.6% of the time as the away team, having gone 10-11-0 straight up.

Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves are covering 50.0% of the time at SunTrust Park, going 11-11-0 SU.

The Braves have been a pretty good Over bet for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 22-19-2.

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

05/14/19 3B Travis Shaw Wrist 10-day IL (05/14)
05/01/19 P Chase Anderson Finger 10-day IL (05/01)
04/11/19 P Corey Knebel Elbow 60-day IL (04/11); is out for season
03/27/19 P Jimmy Nelson Shoulder 10-day IL (03/27)
03/25/19 P Bobby Wahl ACL 60-day IL (04/05); is out for season
03/25/19 P Brent Suter Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

05/15/19 CF Ender Inciarte Back 10-day IL (05/15)
04/30/19 P Chad Sobotka Abdominal 10-day IL (04/29)
04/29/19 P Arodys Vizcaino Shoulder 60-day IL (04/28); is out for season
03/25/19 P Darren O'Day Arm 10-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 26-19 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jhoulys Chacin has a 3-4 record with an earned run average of 4.57 and a WHIP of 1.26 this season. He has 33 strikeouts over his 45.1 innings pitched and he's given up 36 hits. He's allowed 7.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.46. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.12 and they have given up 151 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .214 against the bullpen and they've struck out 205 hitters and walked 81 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.22. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 378 base hits and 192 earned runs. They have allowed 63 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 167 batters and struck out 416. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.33 and their FIP as a unit is 4.39.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .246, good for 17th in the league. The Brewers hold a .427 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 13th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Christian Yelich is hitting .333 with an on-base percentage of .451. He has 47 hits this season in 141 at bats with 38 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .716 and an OPS+ of 204. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .265 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .325. He has totaled 48 hits and he has driven in 18 men in 181 at bats. His OPS+ is 93 while his slugging percentage is at .403. The Brewers have 377 hits, including 64 doubles and 70 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 179 times so far this season and they have struck out 431 times as a unit. They have left 318 men on base and have a team OPS of .756. They score 4.76 runs per contest and have scored a total of 214 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 22-21 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.50, Kevin Gausman has a 2-3 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 46 strikeouts over the 42 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 35 hits. He's allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.82. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.51 and they have given up 146 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 165 batters and walked 89 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 20th in the league in team earned run average at 4.5. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 358 base knocks and 190 earned runs this season. They have given up 56 home runs this year, which ranks 12th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 180 hitters and struck out 373 batters. They give up a walk 4.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.42 while their FIP as a staff is 4.66.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 5th in the league. The Braves hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 8th in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Ozzie Albies comes into this matchup batting .257 with an OBP of .303. He has 47 hits this year along with 20 RBI in 183 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .432 with an OPS+ of 94. Freddie Freeman is hitting .304 this season and he has an OBP of .401. He has collected 49 hits in 161 at bats while driving in 23 runs. He has an OPS+ of 144 and a slugging percentage of .516. The Braves as a unit have 374 base hits, including 69 doubles and 54 homers. Atlanta has walked 159 times this year and they have struck out on 358 occasions. They have had 310 men left on base and have an OPS of .765. They have scored 4.72 runs per game and totaled 203 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Braves -130

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