Milwaukee Brewers at Atlanta Braves Baseball Betting Tips 5/18/2019

Saturday, May 18, 2019

SunTrust Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Chase Anderson vs. Kevin Gausman

Lorenzo Cain and the Milwaukee Brewers (27-19, 2nd in NL Central) head to SunTrust Park on Saturday where they'll take on the Atlanta Braves (23-21, 2nd in NL East). The Brewers open this contest at +117 while the Braves are priced at -127. The over/under is set at 9.5.

The Brewers have been bad for Vegas, having gone 27-19-0 SU. The Braves cover 52.3% of the time, going 23-21-0 straight up. The Brewers have been bad for Vegas as the favorite, going 13-8-0 SU. Atlanta has gone 7-10-0 straight up as an underdog, so they cover 41.2% of the time.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers have been an excellent Under bet for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 18-27-1.

Milwaukee covers 50.0% of the time as the away team, having gone 11-11-0 straight up.

Important Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

Atlanta covers 52.2% of the time at SunTrust Park, going 12-11-0 SU.

The Braves have been a hot and cold Under bet for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 23-19-2.

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

05/16/19 C Manny Pina Hamstring 10-day IL (05/16)
05/14/19 3B Travis Shaw Wrist 10-day IL (05/14)
05/01/19 P Chase Anderson Finger 10-day IL (05/01)
04/11/19 P Corey Knebel Elbow 60-day IL (04/11); is out for season
03/27/19 P Jimmy Nelson Shoulder 10-day IL (03/27)
03/25/19 P Bobby Wahl ACL 60-day IL (04/05); is out for season
03/25/19 P Brent Suter Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)

Key Atlanta Braves Injuries

05/15/19 CF Ender Inciarte Back 10-day IL (05/15)
04/30/19 P Chad Sobotka Abdominal 10-day IL (04/29)
04/29/19 P Arodys Vizcaino Shoulder 60-day IL (04/28); is out for season
03/25/19 P Darren O'Day Arm 10-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 27-19 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Chase Anderson has a 2-0 record with an earned run average of 3.20 and a WHIP of 1.27 this season. He has 22 strikeouts over his 19.2 innings pitched and he's given up 16 hits. He's allowed 7.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.23. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.06 and they have given up 151 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .212 against the bullpen and they've struck out 207 hitters and walked 81 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 12th in the league in team earned run average at 4.15. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 382 base hits and 193 earned runs. They have allowed 64 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 168 batters and struck out 423. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.38.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .248, good for 16th in the league. The Brewers hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .333, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .265 with an on-base percentage of .325. He has 48 hits this season in 181 at bats with 18 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .403 and an OPS+ of 92. Christian Yelich is hitting .342 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .458. He has totaled 50 hits and he has driven in 40 men in 146 at bats. His OPS+ is 216 while his slugging percentage is at .760. The Brewers have 390 hits, including 67 doubles and 74 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 186 times so far this season and they have struck out 445 times as a unit. They have left 330 men on base and have a team OPS of .767. They score 4.89 runs per contest and have scored a total of 225 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Atlanta has a 23-21 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.50, Kevin Gausman has a 2-3 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 46 strikeouts over the 42 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 35 hits. He's allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.82. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.51 and they have given up 150 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .245 against the Braves bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 167 batters and walked 89 opposing hitters. As a team, Atlanta allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.44. The Braves pitchers as a team have surrendered 364 base knocks and 192 earned runs this season. They have given up 58 home runs this year, which ranks 11th in Major League Baseball. Atlanta as a staff has walked 184 hitters and struck out 379 batters. They give up a walk 4.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.8 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.41 while their FIP as a staff is 4.70.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .260, good for 3rd in the league. The Braves hold a .435 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .337, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 8.8 hits per contest. Freddie Freeman comes into this matchup batting .315 with an OBP of .411. He has 52 hits this year along with 25 RBI in 165 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .539 with an OPS+ of 152. Ozzie Albies is hitting .254 this season and he has an OBP of .307. He has collected 47 hits in 185 at bats while driving in 20 runs. He has an OPS+ of 94 and a slugging percentage of .427. The Braves as a unit have 388 base hits, including 71 doubles and 55 homers. Atlanta has walked 165 times this year and they have struck out on 362 occasions. They have had 318 men left on base and have an OPS of .772. They have scored 4.84 runs per game and totaled 213 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Braves MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Braves -127

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