Milwaukee Brewers at Chicago Cubs MLB Picks & Predictions 5/11/2019

Saturday, May 11, 2019

Wrigley Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Zach Davies vs. Cole Hamels

The Milwaukee Brewers visit Wrigley Field on Saturday, May 11, 2019 to play the Chicago Cubs. The probable starters are Zach Davies for the Brewers and Cole Hamels for the Cubs.

The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +118 and Chicago at -128. The Brewers have a 16-22-1 over/under record and a 20-19-0 run line mark. The Cubs are 19-16-0 against the run line and have a 20-15-0 over/under record.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 16-22-1 against the over/under

The Milwaukee Brewers are 20-19-0 against the run line

Important Chicago Cubs Betting Trends

The Chicago Cubs are 20-15-0 against the over/under

The Chicago Cubs are 19-16-0 against the run line

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

05/01/19 P Chase Anderson Finger 10-day IL (05/01)
04/11/19 P Corey Knebel Elbow 60-day IL (04/11); is out for season
03/27/19 P Jimmy Nelson Shoulder 10-day IL (03/27)
03/25/19 P Bobby Wahl ACL 60-day IL (04/05); is out for season
03/25/19 P Brent Suter Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)

Key Chicago Cubs Injuries

05/08/19 2B Ben Zobrist Personal is out indefinitely
05/08/19 P Pedro Strop Hamstring 10-day IL (05/07)
05/02/19 P Brandon Morrow Elbow 60-day IL (05/02)
04/12/19 C Victor Caratini Hand 10-day IL (04/12)
03/30/19 P Xavier Cedeno Wrist 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Kendall Graveman Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 P Tony Barnette Shoulder 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 23-16 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Zach Davies has a 4-0 record with an earned run average of 1.56 and a WHIP of 1.24 this season. He has 26 strikeouts over his 40.1 innings pitched and he's given up 36 hits. He's allowed 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.93. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.23 and they have given up 131 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .213 against the bullpen and they've struck out 179 hitters and walked 68 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.58. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 329 base hits and 179 earned runs. They have allowed 59 home runs this season, ranking them 4th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 143 batters and struck out 365. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.56.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .247, good for 14th in the league. The Brewers hold a .439 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.3 hits per game. Christian Yelich is hitting .356 with an on-base percentage of .462. He has 42 hits this season in 118 at bats with 37 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .797 and an OPS+ of 225. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .250 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .310. He has totaled 38 hits and he has driven in 17 men in 152 at bats. His OPS+ is 86 while his slugging percentage is at .395. The Brewers have 325 hits, including 56 doubles and 65 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 141 times so far this season and they have struck out 376 times as a unit. They have left 261 men on base and have a team OPS of .764. They score 4.87 runs per contest and have scored a total of 190 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Chicago has a 22-13 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.38, Cole Hamels has a 3-0 record and a 1.10 WHIP. He has 44 strikeouts over the 42.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 33 hits. He's allowing 7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.65. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.98 and they have given up 101 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .228 against the Cubs bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 130 batters and walked 68 opposing hitters. As a team, Chicago allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 4th in the league in team earned run average at 3.6. The Cubs pitchers as a team have surrendered 273 base knocks and 126 earned runs this season. They have given up 38 home runs this year, which ranks 27th in Major League Baseball. Chicago as a staff has walked 140 hitters and struck out 320 batters. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.1 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.31 while their FIP as a staff is 4.09.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 6th in the league. The Cubs hold a .460 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .351, which is good for 1st in baseball. They rank 7th in MLB with 8.7 hits per contest. Willson Contreras comes into this matchup batting .310 with an OBP of .435. He has 31 hits this year along with 22 RBI in 100 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .640 with an OPS+ of 178. Javier Baez is hitting .320 this season and he has an OBP of .357. He has collected 47 hits in 147 at bats while driving in 28 runs. He has an OPS+ of 154 and a slugging percentage of .639. The Cubs as a unit have 306 base hits, including 66 doubles and 56 homers. Chicago has walked 157 times this year and they have struck out on 315 occasions. They have had 253 men left on base and have an OPS of .811. They have scored 5.71 runs per game and totaled 200 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Cubs MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers +118

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