Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds Baseball Betting Tips 7/4/2019

Thursday, July 4, 2019

Great American Ball Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Brandon Woodruff vs. Luis Castillo

Eugenio Suarez and the Cincinnati Reds (39-44, 5th in NL Central) play the Milwaukee Brewers (46-40, 1st in NL Central) at Great American Ball Park on Thursday, July 4, 2019. The Brewers open this matchup at +100 while the Reds are priced at -110. The over/under opens at 9.

The Brewers have been a good bet for wagerers, having gone 46-40-0 SU. Cincinnati is covering 47.0% of the time, going 39-44-0 straight up. The Reds have been a very good play for MLB bettors as a favorite, going 19-14-0 SU. The Brewers are covering 50.0% of the time as an underdog, having gone 18-18-0 straight up.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers have been a great Under bet for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 37-46-3.

Milwaukee is covering 46.3% of the time away from home, having gone 19-22-0 straight up.

Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends

Cincinnati is covering 53.8% of the time at Great American Ball Park, going 21-18-0 SU.

The Reds have been a great Under bet for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 29-52-2.

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

7/2/2019 Ryan Braun LF Leg Probable for Jul 3
6/28/2019 Jimmy Nelson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/27/2019 Gio Gonzalez SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries

7/1/2019 Wandy Peralta RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/28/2019 Tucker Barnhart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/25/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 26

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 46-40 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Brandon Woodruff has a 10-2 record with an earned run average of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.14 this season. He has 120 strikeouts over his 102 innings pitched and he's given up 91 hits. He's allowed 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.01. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.17 and they have given up 296 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the bullpen and they've struck out 388 hitters and walked 143 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.55. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 754 base hits and 395 earned runs. They have allowed 117 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 297 batters and struck out 802. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.37.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .247, good for 19th in the league. The Brewers hold a .448 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .245 with an on-base percentage of .311. He has 79 hits this season in 322 at bats with 29 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .354 and an OPS+ of 72. Christian Yelich is hitting .328 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .425. He has totaled 97 hits and he has driven in 67 men in 296 at bats. His OPS+ is 187 while his slugging percentage is at .713. The Brewers have 731 hits, including 138 doubles and 147 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 332 times so far this season and they have struck out 819 times as a unit. They have left 608 men on base and have a team OPS of .776. They score 4.86 runs per contest and have scored a total of 418 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cincinnati has a 39-44 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.47, Luis Castillo has a 7-3 record and a 1.15 WHIP. He has 115 strikeouts over the 98.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 61 hits. He's allowing 5.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.8. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.79 and they have given up 244 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 310 batters and walked 120 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.74. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 638 base knocks and 306 earned runs this season. They have given up 96 home runs this year, which ranks 29th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 281 hitters and struck out 793 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.25 while their FIP as a staff is 4.01.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .236, good for 27th in the league. The Reds hold a .411 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Eugenio Suarez comes into this matchup batting .254 with an OBP of .332. He has 78 hits this year along with 54 RBI in 307 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .498 with an OPS+ of 109. Jose Iglesias is hitting .286 this season and he has an OBP of .320. He has collected 76 hits in 266 at bats while driving in 32 runs. He has an OPS+ of 84 and a slugging percentage of .398. The Reds as a unit have 656 base hits, including 113 doubles and 115 homers. Cincinnati has walked 253 times this year and they have struck out on 726 occasions. They have had 523 men left on base and have an OPS of .719. They have scored 4.35 runs per game and totaled 361 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Reds MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Reds -110

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