Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds Baseball Betting Tips and Predictions 7/3/2019
Wednesday, July 3, 2019
Great American Ball Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jhoulys Chacin vs. Sonny Gray
Eugenio Suarez and the Cincinnati Reds (38-44, 5th in NL Central) host the Milwaukee Brewers (46-39, 1st in NL Central) at Great American Ball Park on Wednesday, July 3, 2019. The Reds open this contest at -115 while the Brewers are coming in at +105. The O/U is set at 10.5.
The Brewers have been inconsistent for oddsmakers, having gone 46-39-0 SU. Cincinnati is covering 46.3% of the time, going 38-44-0 straight up. The Reds have been an excellent choice for wagerers as favorites, going 18-14-0 SU. Milwaukee has gone 18-17-0 straight up as an underdog, so they are covering 51.4% of the time.
Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Brewers have been a hot and cold Over option for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 37-45-3.
The Brewers are covering 47.5% of the time away from home, having gone 19-21-0 straight up.
Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
The Reds are covering 52.6% of the time at Great American Ball Park, going 20-18-0 SU.
The Reds have been a great Under option for O/U baseball wagerers, having gone 29-51-2.
Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries
6/28/2019 Jimmy Nelson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/27/2019 Gio Gonzalez SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries
7/1/2019 Wandy Peralta RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/28/2019 Tucker Barnhart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/25/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Brewers have a 46-39 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jhoulys Chacin has a 3-8 record with an earned run average of 5.60 and a WHIP of 1.52 this season. He has 60 strikeouts over his 72.1 innings pitched and he's given up 75 hits. He's allowed 9.3 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.86. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.18 and they have given up 291 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the bullpen and they've struck out 384 hitters and walked 142 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.57. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 744 base hits and 391 earned runs. They have allowed 115 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 296 batters and struck out 796. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.35.
As a team Milwaukee is hitting .249, good for 17th in the league. The Brewers hold a .448 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .248 with an on-base percentage of .312. He has 79 hits this season in 319 at bats with 29 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .357 and an OPS+ of 73. Christian Yelich is hitting .330 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .428. He has totaled 96 hits and he has driven in 66 men in 291 at bats. His OPS+ is 187 while his slugging percentage is at .711. The Brewers have 725 hits, including 137 doubles and 144 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 330 times so far this season and they have struck out 810 times as a unit. They have left 605 men on base and have a team OPS of .777. They score 4.87 runs per contest and have scored a total of 414 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Cincinnati has a 38-44 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.94, Sonny Gray has a 4-5 record and a 1.24 WHIP. He has 91 strikeouts over the 82.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 70 hits. He's allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.62. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.85 and they have given up 244 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .229 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 306 batters and walked 119 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.74. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 632 base knocks and 302 earned runs this season. They have given up 93 home runs this year, which ranks 29th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 279 hitters and struck out 784 batters. They give up a walk 3.5 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.26 while their FIP as a staff is 3.98.
As a team, they are batting .236, good for 27th in the league. The Reds hold a .410 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .309, which is good for 24th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Eugenio Suarez comes into this matchup batting .255 with an OBP of .334. He has 77 hits this year along with 52 RBI in 302 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .493 with an OPS+ of 108. Jose Iglesias is hitting .287 this season and he has an OBP of .322. He has collected 75 hits in 261 at bats while driving in 32 runs. He has an OPS+ of 84 and a slugging percentage of .402. The Reds as a unit have 646 base hits, including 112 doubles and 113 homers. Cincinnati has walked 252 times this year and they have struck out on 720 occasions. They have had 518 men left on base and have an OPS of .719. They have scored 4.34 runs per game and totaled 356 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Brewers/Reds MLB game against the spread?
Guy's Pick: Take the Reds -115
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