Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 7/1/2019
Monday, July 1, 2019
Great American Ball Park
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Adrian Houser vs. Tyler Mahle
Great American Ball Park is the venue where Eugenio Suarez and the Cincinnati Reds (37-43, 5th in NL Central) will play the Milwaukee Brewers (44-39, 2nd in NL Central) on Monday. The Brewers open this contest at +102 while the Reds are priced at -112. The O/U opens at 10.5.
The Brewers have been a decent option for baseball wagerers, having gone 44-39-0 SU. Cincinnati is covering 46.2% of the time, going 37-43-0 straight up. The Reds have been an excellent choice for baseball bettors as a favorite, going 18-13-0 SU. Milwaukee is covering 50.0% of the time as the underdog, having gone 17-17-0 straight up.
Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends
The Brewers have been a great Under option for over/under bettors, having gone 36-44-3.
The Brewers cover 46.2% of the time away from home, having gone 18-21-0 straight up.
Important Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends
Cincinnati is covering 52.8% of the time at Great American Ball Park, going 19-17-0 SU.
The Reds have been a great Under option for over/under bettors, having gone 27-51-2.
Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries
6/28/2019 Jimmy Nelson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/27/2019 Gio Gonzalez SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season
Key Cincinnati Reds Injuries
6/28/2019 Tucker Barnhart C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/25/2019 Alex Wood SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
6/25/2019 Wandy Peralta RP Hip Expected to be out until at least Jul 1
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Brewers have a 44-39 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Adrian Houser has a 2-2 record with an earned run average of 2.94 and a WHIP of 1.34 this season. He has 40 strikeouts over his 33.2 innings pitched and he's given up 30 hits. He's allowed 8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.39. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.19 and they have given up 286 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the bullpen and they've struck out 376 hitters and walked 142 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.4 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.59. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 727 base hits and 384 earned runs. They have allowed 112 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 293 batters and struck out 784. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.4 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.33.
As a team Milwaukee is hitting .248, good for 17th in the league. The Brewers hold a .447 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .248 with an on-base percentage of .312. He has 77 hits this season in 310 at bats with 28 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .352 and an OPS+ of 73. Christian Yelich is hitting .327 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .423. He has totaled 93 hits and he has driven in 63 men in 284 at bats. His OPS+ is 185 while his slugging percentage is at .704. The Brewers have 708 hits, including 133 doubles and 140 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 317 times so far this season and they have struck out 789 times as a unit. They have left 585 men on base and have a team OPS of .775. They score 4.87 runs per contest and have scored a total of 404 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Cincinnati has a 37-43 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.35, Tyler Mahle has a 2-8 record and a 1.22 WHIP. He has 84 strikeouts over the 82.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 81 hits. He's allowing 8.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.38. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.57 and they have given up 232 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .224 against the Reds bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 300 batters and walked 112 opposing hitters. As a team, Cincinnati allows 7.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.7 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.66. The Reds pitchers as a team have surrendered 612 base knocks and 288 earned runs this season. They have given up 88 home runs this year, which ranks 29th in Major League Baseball. Cincinnati as a staff has walked 269 hitters and struck out 763 batters. They give up a walk 3.4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.24 while their FIP as a staff is 3.90.
As a team, they are batting .235, good for 27th in the league. The Reds hold a .408 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 25th in baseball. They rank 26th in MLB with 7.8 hits per contest. Eugenio Suarez comes into this matchup batting .245 with an OBP of .327. He has 72 hits this year along with 45 RBI in 294 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .459 with an OPS+ of 100. Jose Iglesias is hitting .292 this season and he has an OBP of .328. He has collected 74 hits in 253 at bats while driving in 32 runs. He has an OPS+ of 89 and a slugging percentage of .411. The Reds as a unit have 627 base hits, including 111 doubles and 109 homers. Cincinnati has walked 247 times this year and they have struck out on 703 occasions. They have had 508 men left on base and have an OPS of .716. They have scored 4.28 runs per game and totaled 342 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Brewers/Reds MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Brewers +102
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