Milwaukee Brewers at Houston Astros Baseball Betting Tips 6/11/2019

Tuesday, June 11, 2019

Minute Maid Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Freddy Peralta vs. Brad Peacock

Minute Maid Park is the site where Michael Brantley and the Houston Astros (45-22, 1st in AL West) will take on the Milwaukee Brewers (38-28, 2nd in NL Central) on Tuesday. The odds on this matchup have the Brewers coming in at +140 and the Astros are at -150. The total opens at 9.

The Brewers have been very good for bettors, having gone 38-28-0 SU. Houston is covering 67.2% of the time, going 45-22-0 straight up. The Astros have been a great choice for MLB bettors as favorites, going 44-21-0 SU. Milwaukee has gone 16-14-0 straight up as the underdog, so they cover 53.3% of the time.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers have been a terrible Over option for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 28-37-1.

Milwaukee is covering 51.6% of the time as a visitor, having gone 16-15-0 straight up.

Important Houston Astros Betting Trends

Houston is covering 72.7% of the time at Minute Maid Park, going 24-9-0 SU.

The Astros have been a terrible Over option for over/under baseball wagerers, having gone 27-38-2.

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

6/8/2019 Gio Gonzalez SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jun 21
6/8/2019 Jhoulys Chacin SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Houston Astros Injuries

6/9/2019 Aledmys Diaz 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 14
6/9/2019 Lance McCullers SP Elbow Out for the season
6/5/2019 Jose Altuve 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 17
6/4/2019 Collin McHugh SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 25
6/3/2019 Max Stassi C Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 10
5/29/2019 Carlos Correa SS Ribs Expected to be out until at least Jul 2
5/25/2019 George Springer RF Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 22
5/15/2019 Joe Smith RP Achilles Expected to be out until at least Jul 1

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 38-28 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Freddy Peralta has a 3-2 record with an earned run average of 5.11 and a WHIP of 1.46 this season. He has 52 strikeouts over his 44 innings pitched and he's given up 51 hits. He's allowed 10.4 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.17. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.39 and they have given up 233 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .226 against the bullpen and they've struck out 305 hitters and walked 113 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.48. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 574 base hits and 299 earned runs. They have allowed 92 home runs this season, ranking them 11th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 229 batters and struck out 621. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.32.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .254, good for 14th in the league. The Brewers hold a .454 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.8 hits per game. Christian Yelich is hitting .340 with an on-base percentage of .446. He has 72 hits this season in 212 at bats with 53 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .745 and an OPS+ of 205. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .254 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .314. He has totaled 65 hits and he has driven in 27 men in 256 at bats. His OPS+ is 80 while his slugging percentage is at .371. The Brewers have 578 hits, including 105 doubles and 114 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 256 times so far this season and they have struck out 628 times as a unit. They have left 470 men on base and have a team OPS of .788. They score 5.03 runs per contest and have scored a total of 332 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Houston has a 45-22 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.20, Brad Peacock has a 5-3 record and a 1.07 WHIP. He has 67 strikeouts over the 64.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 49 hits. He's allowing 6.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.19. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.31 and they have given up 164 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .206 against the Astros bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 234 batters and walked 80 opposing hitters. As a team, Houston allows 6.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 10 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.44. The Astros pitchers as a team have surrendered 463 base knocks and 230 earned runs this season. They have given up 92 home runs this year, which ranks 10th in Major League Baseball. Houston as a staff has walked 184 hitters and struck out 667 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 10 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.08 while their FIP as a staff is 3.93.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .267, good for 2nd in the league. The Astros hold a .470 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .341, which is good for 3rd in baseball. They rank 5th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Michael Brantley comes into this matchup batting .317 with an OBP of .374. He has 78 hits this year along with 38 RBI in 246 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .512 with an OPS+ of 136. Alex Bregman is hitting .272 this season and he has an OBP of .389. He has collected 64 hits in 235 at bats while driving in 44 runs. He has an OPS+ of 149 and a slugging percentage of .545. The Astros as a unit have 604 base hits, including 121 doubles and 106 homers. Houston has walked 247 times this year and they have struck out on 450 occasions. They have had 462 men left on base and have an OPS of .811. They have scored 5.1 runs per game and totaled 342 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Astros MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Astros -150

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