Milwaukee Brewers at Miami Marlins Baseball Betting Tips 9/12/2019

Thursday, September 12, 2019

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Gio Gonzalez vs. Caleb Smith

Starlin Castro and the Miami Marlins (51-93, 5th in NL East) host the Milwaukee Brewers (76-68, 3rd in NL Central) at Marlins Park on Thursday, September 12, 2019. The odds on this contest have the Brewers coming in at -125 and the Marlins are at +115. The O/U opens at 8.

The Brewers have been a decent pick for MLB bettors, having gone 76-68-0 SU. The Marlins are covering 35.4% of the time, going 51-93-0 straight up.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers have been a good Under play for O/U wagerers, having gone 62-77-5.

The Brewers are covering 47.1% of the time away from home, having gone 33-37-0 straight up.

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

Miami covers 38.2% of the time at Marlins Park, going 29-47-0 SU.

The Marlins have been a less than ideal Under play for O/U wagerers, having gone 69-66-9.

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

9/10/2019 Christian Yelich RF Kneecap Out for the season
9/10/2019 Orlando Arcia SS Paternity List Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
9/10/2019 Manny Pina C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
9/10/2019 Mike Moustakas 3B Wrist Probable for Sep 11
8/31/2019 Keston Hiura 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/17/2019 Brandon Woodruff SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/9/2019 Cesar Puello CF Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/9/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/9/2019 JT Riddle CF Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 25
9/8/2019 Jordan Yamamoto SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
9/5/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/3/2019 Brian Anderson 3B Finger Out for the season
9/3/2019 Austin Brice RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/8/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 76-68 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Gio Gonzalez has a 2-2 record with an earned run average of 3.98 and a WHIP of 1.33 this season. He has 63 strikeouts over his 72.1 innings pitched and he's given up 62 hits. He's allowed 7.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.5. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.55 and they have given up 523 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .235 against the bullpen and they've struck out 648 hitters and walked 260 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 17th in the league in team earned run average at 4.58. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 1,243 base hits and 660 earned runs. They have allowed 203 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 521 batters and struck out 1,309. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.57.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .249, good for 18th in the league. The Brewers hold a .441 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .330, which is good for 9th in baseball. They rank 17th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Mike Moustakas is hitting .260 with an on-base percentage of .332. He has 122 hits this season in 469 at bats with 76 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .522 and an OPS+ of 116. Yasmani Grandal is hitting .254 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .380. He has totaled 117 hits and he has driven in 71 men in 460 at bats. His OPS+ is 121 while his slugging percentage is at .483. The Brewers have 1,230 hits, including 247 doubles and 224 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 555 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,375 times as a unit. They have left 1,063 men on base and have a team OPS of .770. They score 4.72 runs per contest and have scored a total of 679 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 51-93 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.11, Caleb Smith has a 8-9 record and a 1.13 WHIP. He has 156 strikeouts over the 133.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 102 hits. He's allowing 6.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.81. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.14 and they have given up 474 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 500 batters and walked 237 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.76. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,173 base knocks and 677 earned runs this season. They have given up 215 home runs this year, which ranks 9th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 547 hitters and struck out 1,232 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.34 while their FIP as a staff is 4.93.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .240, good for 27th in the league. The Marlins hold a .370 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 27th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Starlin Castro comes into this matchup batting .269 with an OBP of .298. He has 153 hits this year along with 77 RBI in 568 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .424 with an OPS+ of 89. Garrett Cooper is hitting .280 this season and he has an OBP of .345. He has collected 104 hits in 372 at bats while driving in 49 runs. He has an OPS+ of 108 and a slugging percentage of .441. The Marlins as a unit have 1,172 base hits, including 232 doubles and 125 homers. Miami has walked 357 times this year and they have struck out on 1,315 occasions. They have had 930 men left on base and have an OPS of .669. They have scored 3.74 runs per game and totaled 539 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Marlins (+115)

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