Milwaukee Brewers at Miami Marlins MLB Game Picks 9/9/2019

Monday, September 9, 2019

Marlins Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jordan Lyles vs. Robert Dugger

Garrett Cooper and the Miami Marlins (50-91, 5th in NL East) host the Milwaukee Brewers (73-68, 3rd in NL Central) at Marlins Park on Monday, September 9, 2019. The Marlins open this contest at +155 while the Brewers are coming in at -165. The O/U is set at 8.5.

The Brewers have been a decent bet for wagerers, having gone 73-68-0 SU. The Marlins are covering 35.5% of the time, going 50-91-0 straight up.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers have been a pretty good Under choice for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 60-76-5.

Milwaukee covers 45.6% of the time as the road team, having gone 31-37-0 straight up.

Important Miami Marlins Betting Trends

Miami covers 38.4% of the time at Marlins Park, going 28-45-0 SU.

The Marlins have been a hot and cold Under choice for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 67-65-9.

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Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

9/8/2019 Mike Moustakas 3B Wrist Expected to be out until at least Sep 13
9/7/2019 Lorenzo Cain CF Knee Probable for Sep 8
9/7/2019 Ryan Braun LF Back Probable for Sep 8
9/6/2019 Manny Pina C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 9
8/31/2019 Keston Hiura 2B Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
8/17/2019 Brandon Woodruff SP Oblique Expected to be out until at least Sep 22
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15

Key Miami Marlins Injuries

9/7/2019 Cesar Puello CF Hip Expected to be out until at least Sep 10
9/5/2019 JT Riddle CF Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 12
9/5/2019 Julian Fernandez RP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 20
9/3/2019 Brian Anderson 3B Finger Out for the season
9/3/2019 Austin Brice RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/28/2019 Jordan Yamamoto SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Sep 11
8/26/2019 Chad Wallach C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Sep 8
8/8/2019 Drew Steckenrider RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 73-68 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jordan Lyles has a 10-8 record with an earned run average of 4.46 and a WHIP of 1.34 this season. He has 124 strikeouts over his 121 innings pitched and he's given up 115 hits. He's allowed 8.6 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.72. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.59 and they have given up 509 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .234 against the bullpen and they've struck out 628 hitters and walked 253 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.6 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 18th in the league in team earned run average at 4.6. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 1,218 base hits and 649 earned runs. They have allowed 201 home runs this season, ranking them 14th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 508 batters and struck out 1,278. They have walked 3.6 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.36 and their FIP as a unit is 4.59.

Related: Get MLB predictions on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .248, good for 20th in the league. The Brewers hold a .439 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 16th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Yasmani Grandal is hitting .252 with an on-base percentage of .378. He has 113 hits this season in 448 at bats with 68 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .478 and an OPS+ of 120. Christian Yelich is hitting .329 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .426. He has totaled 159 hits and he has driven in 97 men in 483 at bats. His OPS+ is 178 while his slugging percentage is at .675. The Brewers have 1,203 hits, including 240 doubles and 220 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 541 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,345 times as a unit. They have left 1,042 men on base and have a team OPS of .768. They score 4.67 runs per contest and have scored a total of 659 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Miami has a 50-91 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.00, Robert Dugger has a 0-1 record and a 1.22 WHIP. He has 12 strikeouts over the 18 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 15 hits. He's allowing 7.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 5.88. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.11 and they have given up 464 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .250 against the Marlins bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 491 batters and walked 232 opposing hitters. As a team, Miami allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 21st in the league in team earned run average at 4.77. The Marlins pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,151 base knocks and 665 earned runs this season. They have given up 213 home runs this year, which ranks 8th in Major League Baseball. Miami as a staff has walked 536 hitters and struck out 1,207 batters. They give up a walk 3.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.7 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.96.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .239, good for 29th in the league. The Marlins hold a .369 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .297, which is good for 29th in baseball. They rank 28th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Garrett Cooper comes into this matchup batting .276 with an OBP of .342. He has 99 hits this year along with 49 RBI in 359 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .443 with an OPS+ of 107. Starlin Castro is hitting .269 this season and he has an OBP of .295. He has collected 150 hits in 557 at bats while driving in 74 runs. He has an OPS+ of 86 and a slugging percentage of .415. The Marlins as a unit have 1,141 base hits, including 226 doubles and 123 homers. Miami has walked 342 times this year and they have struck out on 1,288 occasions. They have had 901 men left on base and have an OPS of .666. They have scored 3.72 runs per game and totaled 524 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Marlins MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Marlins (+155)

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