Milwaukee Brewers at New York Mets Baseball Betting Tips and Predictions 4/28/2019

Sunday, April 28, 2019

Citi Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Zach Davies vs. Steven Matz

The Milwaukee Brewers visit Citi Field on Sunday, April 28, 2019 to play the New York Mets. The probable starters are Zach Davies for the Brewers and Steven Matz for the Mets.

The opening line for this matchup has Milwaukee at +115 and New York at -125. The Brewers have a 11-15-1 over/under record and a 13-14-0 run line mark. The Mets are 14-11-0 against the run line and have a 16-6-3 over/under record.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Milwaukee Brewers are 11-15-1 against the over/under

The Milwaukee Brewers are 13-14-0 against the run line

Important New York Mets Betting Trends

The New York Mets are 16-6-3 against the over/under

The New York Mets are 14-11-0 against the run line

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

04/24/19 P Junior Guerra Bereavement List is questionable Friday vs New York Mets
04/24/19 2B Mike Moustakas Finger is questionable Friday vs New York Mets
04/16/19 P Freddy Peralta Shoulder 10-day IL (04/16)
04/11/19 P Corey Knebel Elbow 60-day IL (04/11); is out for season
03/27/19 P Jimmy Nelson Shoulder 10-day IL (03/27)
03/25/19 P Bobby Wahl ACL 60-day IL (04/05); is out for season
03/25/19 P Brent Suter Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)

Key New York Mets Injuries

04/22/19 P Justin Wilson Elbow 10-day IL (04/22)
03/25/19 P Drew Smith Elbow 10-day IL (03/25); is out for season
03/25/19 2B Jed Lowrie Knee 10-day IL (03/25)
03/25/19 LF Yoenis Cespedes Heel 10-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 14-13 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Zach Davies has a 2-0 record with an earned run average of 1.65 and a WHIP of 1.35 this season. He has 19 strikeouts over his 27.1 innings pitched and he's given up 27 hits. He's allowed 8.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.88. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.46 and they have given up 88 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the bullpen and they've struck out 105 hitters and walked 52 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 24th in the league in team earned run average at 5.15. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 235 base hits and 135 earned runs. They have allowed 46 home runs this season, ranking them 3rd in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 107 batters and struck out 239. They have walked 4.1 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.45 and their FIP as a unit is 5.05.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .244, good for 17th in the league. The Brewers hold a .459 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .326, which is good for 16th in baseball. They rank 19th in MLB with 8.1 hits per game. Christian Yelich is hitting .333 with an on-base percentage of .444. He has 32 hits this season in 96 at bats with 32 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .781 and an OPS+ of 212. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .269 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .336. He has totaled 28 hits and he has driven in 9 men in 104 at bats. His OPS+ is 98 while his slugging percentage is at .423. The Brewers have 218 hits, including 36 doubles and 51 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 98 times so far this season and they have struck out 263 times as a unit. They have left 174 men on base and have a team OPS of .785. They score 4.93 runs per contest and have scored a total of 133 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

New York has a 13-12 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.03, Steven Matz has a 2-1 record and a 1.21 WHIP. He has 25 strikeouts over the 22.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 19 hits. He's allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.99. The bullpen has an earned run average of 5.78 and they have given up 104 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .269 against the Mets bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 99 batters and walked 46 opposing hitters. As a team, New York allows 9.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.9 batters per nine innings. They are 26th in the league in team earned run average at 5.35. The Mets pitchers as a team have surrendered 228 base knocks and 131 earned runs this season. They have given up 34 home runs this year, which ranks 14th in Major League Baseball. New York as a staff has walked 98 hitters and struck out 243 batters. They give up a walk 4 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.48 while their FIP as a staff is 4.42.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .257, good for 11th in the league. The Mets hold a .421 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .342, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 9.0 hits per contest. Pete Alonso comes into this matchup batting .292 with an OBP of .394. He has 26 hits this year along with 21 RBI in 89 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .652 with an OPS+ of 183. Michael Conforto is hitting .283 this season and he has an OBP of .407. He has collected 26 hits in 92 at bats while driving in 13 runs. He has an OPS+ of 163 and a slugging percentage of .554. The Mets as a unit have 225 base hits, including 44 doubles and 31 homers. New York has walked 98 times this year and they have struck out on 235 occasions. They have had 200 men left on base and have an OPS of .762. They have scored 5.2 runs per game and totaled 130 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Mets MLB game against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take the Mets -125

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