Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies MLB Tips 5/16/2019

Thursday, May 16, 2019

Citizens Bank Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Zach Davies vs. Zach Eflin

Citizens Bank Park is the venue where Cesar Hernandez and the Philadelphia Phillies (24-17, 1st in NL East) will play the Milwaukee Brewers (25-19, 2nd in NL Central) on Thursday. The line on this contest has the Brewers coming in at +117 and the Phillies are at -127. The O/U is set at 8.5.

The Brewers have been a solid option for baseball bettors, having gone 23-21-0 vs. the ML. Philadelphia is covering 53.7% of the time, going 22-19-0. The Phillies have been a solid option for baseball bettors as the favorite, going 18-16-0. Milwaukee is covering 65.2% of the time as an underdog, having gone 15-8-0.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers have been a bad Over bet for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 17-26-1.

The Brewers are covering the ML 50.0% of the time as the away team, having gone 10-10-0.

Important Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

Philadelphia is covering 52.2% of the time at Citizens Bank Park, going 12-11-0.

The Phillies have been a bad Over bet for O/U MLB wagerers, having gone 17-23-1.

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

05/14/19 3B Travis Shaw Wrist 10-day IL (05/14)
05/01/19 P Chase Anderson Finger 10-day IL (05/01)
04/11/19 P Corey Knebel Elbow 60-day IL (04/11); is out for season
03/27/19 P Jimmy Nelson Shoulder 10-day IL (03/27)
03/25/19 P Bobby Wahl ACL 60-day IL (04/05); is out for season
03/25/19 P Brent Suter Elbow 60-day IL (03/25)

Key Philadelphia Phillies Injuries

05/14/19 P Edubray Ramos Shoulder 10-day IL (05/13)
05/11/19 P Vince Velasquez Forearm 10-day IL (05/07)
04/25/19 CF Roman Quinn Groin 10-day IL (04/25)
04/20/19 2B Scott Kingery Hamstring 10-day IL (04/20)
04/20/19 P Victor Arano Elbow 10-day IL (04/19)
04/17/19 P Tommy Hunter Forearm 60-day IL (03/25)
04/15/19 P David Robertson Elbow 10-day IL (04/15)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 25-19 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Zach Davies has a 4-0 record with an earned run average of 1.54 and a WHIP of 1.22 this season. He has 31 strikeouts over his 46.2 innings pitched and he's given up 42 hits. He's allowed 8.1 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.64. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.16 and they have given up 149 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .216 against the bullpen and they've struck out 202 hitters and walked 81 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 14th in the league in team earned run average at 4.27. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 369 base hits and 190 earned runs. They have allowed 62 home runs this season, ranking them 5th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 166 batters and struck out 410. They have walked 3.7 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.34 and their FIP as a unit is 4.41.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .247, good for 15th in the league. The Brewers hold a .432 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .328, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 14th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .264 with an on-base percentage of .318. He has 47 hits this season in 178 at bats with 18 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .404 and an OPS+ of 90. Christian Yelich is hitting .328 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .446. He has totaled 45 hits and he has driven in 38 men in 137 at bats. His OPS+ is 203 while his slugging percentage is at .723. The Brewers have 370 hits, including 64 doubles and 70 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 172 times so far this season and they have struck out 422 times as a unit. They have left 307 men on base and have a team OPS of .760. They score 4.75 runs per contest and have scored a total of 209 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Philadelphia has a 24-17 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 2.47, Zach Eflin has a 5-3 record and a 1.02 WHIP. He has 38 strikeouts over the 51 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 45 hits. He's allowing 7.9 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.93. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.71 and they have given up 140 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .256 against the Phillies bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 142 batters and walked 52 opposing hitters. As a team, Philadelphia allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.4 batters per nine innings. They are 9th in the league in team earned run average at 3.84. The Phillies pitchers as a team have surrendered 369 base knocks and 159 earned runs this season. They have given up 55 home runs this year, which ranks 15th in Major League Baseball. Philadelphia as a staff has walked 135 hitters and struck out 348 batters. They give up a walk 3.3 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.4 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.35 while their FIP as a staff is 4.37.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .246, good for 16th in the league. The Phillies hold a .409 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .334, which is good for 7th in baseball. They rank 13th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Cesar Hernandez comes into this matchup batting .304 with an OBP of .371. He has 45 hits this year along with 17 RBI in 148 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .459 with an OPS+ of 118. Rhys Hoskins is hitting .279 this season and he has an OBP of .408. He has collected 41 hits in 147 at bats while driving in 35 runs. He has an OPS+ of 157 and a slugging percentage of .578. The Phillies as a unit have 345 base hits, including 83 doubles and 45 homers. Philadelphia has walked 172 times this year and they have struck out on 363 occasions. They have had 303 men left on base and have an OPS of .743. They have scored 5.12 runs per game and totaled 210 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Phillies MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Phillies -127

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