Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates Baseball Betting Tips 7/5/2019

Friday, July 5, 2019

PNC Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Zach Davies vs. Steven Brault

Christian Yelich and the Milwaukee Brewers (46-41, 1st in NL Central) travel to PNC Park on Friday where they'll take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (42-43, 4th in NL Central). The Brewers open this game at -125 while the Pirates are priced at +115. The O/U is set at 9.5.

The Brewers have been good for wagerers, having gone 46-41-0 SU. Pittsburgh is covering 49.4% of the time, going 42-43-0 straight up. The Brewers have been excellent for baseball wagerers as the favorite, going 28-22-0 SU. Pittsburgh is covering 45.9% of the time as the underdog, having gone 28-33-0 straight up.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers have been a bad Over choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 37-47-3.

Milwaukee is covering 45.2% of the time as the visitor, having gone 19-23-0 straight up.

Important Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

Pittsburgh is covering 51.3% of the time at PNC Park, going 20-19-0 SU.

The Pirates have been a strong Over choice for O/U baseball bettors, having gone 49-33-3.

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

6/28/2019 Jimmy Nelson SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/27/2019 Gio Gonzalez SP Arm Expected to be out until at least Jul 20
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

7/3/2019 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Aug 2
6/30/2019 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/26/2019 Rookie Davis RP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/25/2019 Nick Burdi RP Collarbone Out for the season
6/24/2019 Gregory Polanco RF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/19/2019 Lonnie Chisenhall RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/15/2019 Keone Kela RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
6/13/2019 Erik Gonzalez SS Collarbone Expected to be out until at least Jul 10
3/28/2019 Edgar Santana RP Elbow Out for the season
3/1/2019 Chad Kuhl SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 46-41 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Zach Davies has a 7-2 record with an earned run average of 3.24 and a WHIP of 1.40 this season. He has 59 strikeouts over his 91.2 innings pitched and he's given up 99 hits. He's allowed 9.7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 4.5. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.17 and they have given up 297 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .223 against the bullpen and they've struck out 389 hitters and walked 145 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.7 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.54. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 762 base hits and 398 earned runs. They have allowed 118 home runs this season, ranking them 15th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 299 batters and struck out 811. They have walked 3.4 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.3 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.35 and their FIP as a unit is 4.36.

Related: Get MLB picks & tips on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .246, good for 19th in the league. The Brewers hold a .444 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .327, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 18th in MLB with 8.4 hits per game. Christian Yelich is hitting .328 with an on-base percentage of .425. He has 97 hits this season in 296 at bats with 67 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .713 and an OPS+ of 187. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .245 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .310. He has totaled 80 hits and he has driven in 29 men in 326 at bats. His OPS+ is 72 while his slugging percentage is at .353. The Brewers have 735 hits, including 138 doubles and 147 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 333 times so far this season and they have struck out 832 times as a unit. They have left 613 men on base and have a team OPS of .771. They score 4.8 runs per contest and have scored a total of 418 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Pittsburgh has a 42-43 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.29, Steven Brault has a 3-1 record and a 1.59 WHIP. He has 49 strikeouts over the 56.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 60 hits. He's allowing 9.5 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.66. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.86 and they have given up 321 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .251 against the Pirates bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 354 batters and walked 157 opposing hitters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 9.2 hits per nine innings while striking out 9 batters per nine innings. They are 23rd in the league in team earned run average at 4.86. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 772 base knocks and 409 earned runs this season. They have given up 112 home runs this year, which ranks 19th in Major League Baseball. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 310 hitters and struck out 756 batters. They give up a walk 3.7 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.43 while their FIP as a staff is 4.51.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .268, good for 4th in the league. The Pirates hold a .434 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 15th in baseball. They rank 4th in MLB with 9.4 hits per contest. Melky Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .314 with an OBP of .346. He has 69 hits this year along with 29 RBI in 220 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .455 with an OPS+ of 109. Josh Bell is hitting .309 this season and he has an OBP of .381. He has collected 100 hits in 324 at bats while driving in 80 runs. He has an OPS+ of 167 and a slugging percentage of .660. The Pirates as a unit have 802 base hits, including 178 doubles and 93 homers. Pittsburgh has walked 229 times this year and they have struck out on 668 occasions. They have had 594 men left on base and have an OPS of .759. They have scored 4.76 runs per game and totaled 405 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Pirates MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Pirates +115

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