Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates MLB Point Spread Picks 5/30/2019

Thursday, May 30, 2019

PNC Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Chase Anderson vs. Joe Musgrove

Mike Moustakas and the Milwaukee Brewers (31-25, 2nd in NL Central) are headed to PNC Park on Thursday where they'll take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (26-27, 3rd in NL Central). The Pirates open this matchup at +103 while the Brewers are priced at -113. The over/under is set at 8.5.

The Brewers have been very good for MLB wagerers, having gone 31-25-0 SU. Pittsburgh is covering 49.1% of the time, going 26-27-0 straight up. The Brewers have been a very good option for bettors as favorites, going 15-11-0 SU. The Pirates cover 45.5% of the time as an underdog, having gone 15-18-0 straight up.

Valuable Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends

The Brewers have been a great Under play for over/under bettors, having gone 22-33-1.

Milwaukee is covering 48.1% of the time away from home, having gone 13-14-0 straight up.

Important Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Trends

Pittsburgh is covering 41.7% of the time at PNC Park, going 10-14-0 SU.

The Pirates have been a terrible Under play for over/under bettors, having gone 31-21-1.

Key Milwaukee Brewers Injuries

5/28/2019 Manny Pina C Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 4
5/28/2019 Travis Shaw 3B Wrist Expected to be out until at least May 30
4/14/2019 Corey Knebel RP Elbow Out for the season
4/4/2019 Bobby Wahl RP Knee Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
2/19/2019 Brent Suter SP Elbow Out for the season

Key Pittsburgh Pirates Injuries

5/29/2019 Bryan Reynolds LF Ankle Probable for May 29
5/28/2019 Jordan Lyles SP Hamstring Expected to be out until at least Jun 2
5/28/2019 Adam Frazier 2B Foot Probable for May 29
5/27/2019 Corey Dickerson LF Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 4
5/26/2019 Lonnie Chisenhall RF Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 10
5/26/2019 Francisco Cervelli C Concussion Expected to be out until at least Jun 2
5/25/2019 Chris Stratton RP Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 4
5/23/2019 Jung Ho Kang 3B Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 4
5/22/2019 Nik Turley SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jun 4
5/19/2019 Trevor Williams SP Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 4
5/16/2019 Keone Kela RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least May 30
5/13/2019 Jameson Taillon SP Elbow Expected to be out until at least Jul 4
5/11/2019 Nick Burdi RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Jun 30
4/25/2019 Erik Gonzalez SS Collarbone Expected to be out until at least Jul 4
3/28/2019 Edgar Santana RP Elbow Out for the season
3/1/2019 Chad Kuhl SP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Brewers have a 31-25 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Chase Anderson has a 2-0 record with an earned run average of 3.25 and a WHIP of 1.34 this season. He has 29 strikeouts over his 27.2 innings pitched and he's given up 24 hits. He's allowed 7.8 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.84. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.40 and they have given up 190 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .221 against the bullpen and they've struck out 251 hitters and walked 97 batters. As a team, Milwaukee allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.2 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.33. The Brewers pitchers collectively have given up 471 base hits and 244 earned runs. They have allowed 82 home runs this season, ranking them 4th in the league. Milwaukee as a pitching staff has walked 199 batters and struck out 516. They have walked 3.5 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.2 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.32 and their FIP as a unit is 4.46.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Milwaukee is hitting .248, good for 17th in the league. The Brewers hold a .439 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .329, which is good for 12th in baseball. They rank 15th in MLB with 8.5 hits per game. Mike Moustakas is hitting .256 with an on-base percentage of .322. He has 50 hits this season in 195 at bats with 32 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .523 and an OPS+ of 116. Lorenzo Cain is hitting .257 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .313. He has totaled 56 hits and he has driven in 20 men in 218 at bats. His OPS+ is 82 while his slugging percentage is at .385. The Brewers have 475 hits, including 84 doubles and 92 home runs. Milwaukee has walked 213 times so far this season and they have struck out 541 times as a unit. They have left 387 men on base and have a team OPS of .768. They score 4.88 runs per contest and have scored a total of 273 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Pittsburgh has a 26-27 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 4.27, Joe Musgrove has a 3-5 record and a 1.15 WHIP. He has 45 strikeouts over the 59 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 51 hits. He's allowing 7.8 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 3.05. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.87 and they have given up 201 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the Pirates bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 223 batters and walked 94 opposing hitters. As a team, Pittsburgh allows 8.8 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.9 batters per nine innings. They are 22nd in the league in team earned run average at 4.83. The Pirates pitchers as a team have surrendered 464 base knocks and 254 earned runs this season. They have given up 62 home runs this year, which ranks 27th in Major League Baseball. Pittsburgh as a staff has walked 187 hitters and struck out 466 batters. They give up a walk 3.6 times per 9 innings while they strike out 8.9 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.38 while their FIP as a staff is 4.17.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .248, good for 16th in the league. The Pirates hold a .395 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .308, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 12th in MLB with 8.6 hits per contest. Melky Cabrera comes into this matchup batting .327 with an OBP of .365. He has 49 hits this year along with 16 RBI in 150 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .447 with an OPS+ of 118. Josh Bell is hitting .338 this season and he has an OBP of .405. He has collected 68 hits in 201 at bats while driving in 48 runs. He has an OPS+ of 192 and a slugging percentage of .706. The Pirates as a unit have 455 base hits, including 94 doubles and 52 homers. Pittsburgh has walked 141 times this year and they have struck out on 440 occasions. They have had 371 men left on base and have an OPS of .702. They have scored 4 runs per game and totaled 212 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Brewers/Pirates MLB game against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take the Brewers -113

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