Minnesota Twins at Baltimore Orioles Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 4/21/2019

Sunday, April 21, 2019

Oriole Park

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Kyle Gibson vs. Dylan Bundy

The Minnesota Twins visit Oriole Park on Sunday, April 21, 2019 to play the Baltimore Orioles. The probable starters are Kyle Gibson for the Twins and Dylan Bundy for the Orioles.

The opening line for this matchup has Minnesota at -141 and Baltimore at +131. The Twins have a 9-7-0 over/under record and a 7-9-0 run line mark. The Orioles are 8-12-0 against the run line and have a 13-7-0 over/under record.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Minnesota Twins are 9-7-0 against the over/under

The Minnesota Twins are 7-9-0 against the run line

Important Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends

The Baltimore Orioles are 13-7-0 against the over/under

The Baltimore Orioles are 8-12-0 against the run line

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

03/28/19 P Addison Reed Thumb 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 P Gabriel Moya Heel 10-day IL (03/28)
03/28/19 P Matt Magill Shoulder 10-day IL (03/28)
03/25/19 3B Miguel Sano Heel 10-day IL (03/25)

Key Baltimore Orioles Injuries

04/20/19 P Alex Cobb Back expected to start Game #2 Saturday vs Minnesota Twins
04/12/19 P Richard Bleier Shoulder 10-day IL (04/10)
04/10/19 P Nate Karns Forearm 10-day IL (04/09)
03/28/19 C Austin Wynns Oblique 10-day IL (03/25)
03/28/19 DH Mark Trumbo Groin 60-day IL (03/25)

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 9-7 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Kyle Gibson has a 0-0 record with an earned run average of 7.36 and a WHIP of 1.77 this season. He has 12 strikeouts over his 14.2 innings pitched and he's given up 18 hits. He's allowed 11 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 5.73. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.47 and they have given up 54 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .242 against the bullpen and they've struck out 62 hitters and walked 34 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 7.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.1 batters per nine innings. They are 15th in the league in team earned run average at 4.37. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 124 base hits and 69 earned runs. They have allowed 16 home runs this season, ranking them 27th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 62 batters and struck out 144. They have walked 3.9 men per 9 innings while striking out 9.1 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.31 and their FIP as a unit is 3.86.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .265, good for 6th in the league. The Twins hold a .466 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 10th in baseball. They rank 9th in MLB with 8.9 hits per game. Max Kepler is hitting .242 with an on-base percentage of .319. He has 15 hits this season in 62 at bats with 8 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .435 and an OPS+ of 103. Jorge Polanco is hitting .400 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .464. He has totaled 24 hits and he has driven in 5 men in 60 at bats. His OPS+ is 215 while his slugging percentage is at .717. The Twins have 142 hits, including 34 doubles and 22 home runs. Minnesota has walked 52 times so far this season and they have struck out 118 times as a unit. They have left 101 men on base and have a team OPS of .805. They score 5.06 runs per contest and have scored a total of 81 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Baltimore has a 8-12 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 7.79, Dylan Bundy has a 0-2 record and a 1.56 WHIP. He has 22 strikeouts over the 17.1 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 18 hits. He's allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 7.51. The bullpen has an earned run average of 6.52 and they have given up 102 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .290 against the Orioles bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 83 batters and walked 46 opposing hitters. As a team, Baltimore allows 9.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 7.6 batters per nine innings. They are 30th in the league in team earned run average at 5.93. The Orioles pitchers as a team have surrendered 193 base knocks and 116 earned runs this season. They have given up 46 home runs this year, which ranks 1st in Major League Baseball. Baltimore as a staff has walked 77 hitters and struck out 148 batters. They give up a walk 3.9 times per 9 innings while they strike out 7.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.53 while their FIP as a staff is 6.27.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .230, good for 21st in the league. The Orioles hold a .374 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .299, which is good for 22nd in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 7.9 hits per contest. Trey Mancini comes into this matchup batting .338 with an OBP of .393. He has 27 hits this year along with 12 RBI in 80 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .650 with an OPS+ of 182. Jonathan Villar is hitting .268 this season and he has an OBP of .333. He has collected 22 hits in 82 at bats while driving in 9 runs. He has an OPS+ of 109 and a slugging percentage of .427. The Orioles as a unit have 157 base hits, including 31 doubles and 19 homers. Baltimore has walked 63 times this year and they have struck out on 171 occasions. They have had 126 men left on base and have an OPS of .673. They have scored 4.4 runs per game and totaled 88 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Orioles MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins -141

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