Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 6/6/2019

Thursday, June 6, 2019

Progressive Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jose Berrios vs. Trevor Bauer

Carlos Santana and the Cleveland Indians (30-30, 2nd in AL Central) play the Minnesota Twins (40-19, 1st in AL Central) at Progressive Field on Thursday, June 6, 2019. The odds on this game have the Twins coming in at +104 and the Indians are at -114. The over/under has been set at 8.5.

The Twins have been a great bet for MLB bettors, having gone 40-19-0 SU. Cleveland is covering 50.0% of the time, going 30-30-0 straight up. The Indians have been inconsistent for MLB wagerers as favorites, going 22-23-0 SU. The Twins are covering 60.0% of the time as the underdog, having gone 15-10-0 straight up.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Twins have been a less than ideal Under play for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 30-27-2.

Minnesota is covering 67.7% of the time as the road team, having gone 21-10-0 straight up.

Important Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

Cleveland is covering 53.3% of the time at Progressive Field, going 16-14-0 SU.

The Indians have been a very good Under play for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 23-35-2.

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

6/1/2019 Adalberto Mejia RP Calf Expected to be out until at least Jun 20
5/28/2019 Michael Pineda SP Knee Expected to be out until at least Jun 8

Key Cleveland Indians Injuries

6/4/2019 Jefry Rodriguez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 18
6/2/2019 Dan Otero RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 10
5/28/2019 Danny Salazar SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jun 28
5/28/2019 Mike Clevinger SP Back Expected to be out until at least Jun 11
5/16/2019 Bradley Zimmer CF Side Expected to be out until at least Jun 8
5/7/2019 Corey Kluber SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jun 21

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 40-19 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jose Berrios has a 7-2 record with an earned run average of 3.27 and a WHIP of 1.13 this season. He has 72 strikeouts over his 77 innings pitched and he's given up 73 hits. He's allowed 8.5 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.71. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.56 and they have given up 180 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .252 against the bullpen and they've struck out 198 hitters and walked 74 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.4 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 7th in the league in team earned run average at 3.9. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 484 base hits and 226 earned runs. They have allowed 72 home runs this season, ranking them 22nd in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 162 batters and struck out 512. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.24 and their FIP as a unit is 4.04.

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .273, good for 1st in the league. The Twins hold a .509 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .340, which is good for 5th in baseball. They rank 1st in MLB with 9.4 hits per game. Jorge Polanco is hitting .336 with an on-base percentage of .402. He has 75 hits this season in 223 at bats with 30 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .578 and an OPS+ of 159. Jonathan Schoop is hitting .262 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .318. He has totaled 51 hits and he has driven in 31 men in 195 at bats. His OPS+ is 115 while his slugging percentage is at .503. The Twins have 555 hits, including 129 doubles and 111 home runs. Minnesota has walked 185 times so far this season and they have struck out 453 times as a unit. They have left 387 men on base and have a team OPS of .849. They score 5.92 runs per contest and have scored a total of 349 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cleveland has a 30-30 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.76, Trevor Bauer has a 4-5 record and a 1.17 WHIP. He has 96 strikeouts over the 83.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 61 hits. He's allowing 6.6 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.1. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.24 and they have given up 168 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .238 against the Indians bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 184 batters and walked 52 opposing hitters. As a team, Cleveland allows 8.3 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 3.9. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 481 base knocks and 227 earned runs this season. They have given up 77 home runs this year, which ranks 18th in Major League Baseball. Cleveland as a staff has walked 166 hitters and struck out 561 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.23 while their FIP as a staff is 4.03.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .226, good for 28th in the league. The Indians hold a .373 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .312, which is good for 23rd in baseball. They rank 29th in MLB with 7.3 hits per contest. Carlos Santana comes into this matchup batting .286 with an OBP of .402. He has 60 hits this year along with 37 RBI in 210 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .505 with an OPS+ of 138. Francisco Lindor is hitting .306 this season and he has an OBP of .377. He has collected 49 hits in 160 at bats while driving in 23 runs. He has an OPS+ of 138 and a slugging percentage of .538. The Indians as a unit have 439 base hits, including 86 doubles and 65 homers. Cleveland has walked 228 times this year and they have struck out on 518 occasions. They have had 402 men left on base and have an OPS of .685. They have scored 3.98 runs per game and totaled 239 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Indians MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins +104

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