Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 7/13/2019
Saturday, July 13, 2019
Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.
Probable Pitchers: Jake Odorizzi vs. Trevor Bauer
Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins (56-33, 1st in AL Central) travel to Progressive Field on Saturday where they'll meet the Cleveland Indians (50-38, 2nd in AL Central). The Indians open this contest at -135 while the Twins are coming in at +125. The over/under opens at 9.
The Twins have been lousy for Vegas oddsmakers, having gone 56-33-0 SU. Cleveland covers 56.8% of the time, going 50-38-0 straight up. The Indians have been an excellent play for baseball bettors as the favorite, going 39-31-0 SU. Minnesota covers 62.1% of the time as an underdog, having gone 18-11-0 straight up.
Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends
The Twins have been a decent Over choice for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 46-38-5.
Minnesota covers 60.9% of the time as the visitor, having gone 28-18-0 straight up.
Important Cleveland Indians Betting Trends
The Indians are covering 58.1% of the time at Progressive Field, going 25-18-0 SU.
The Indians have been a dicey Over choice for over/under MLB bettors, having gone 38-46-4.
Key Minnesota Twins Injuries
7/8/2019 C.J 1B Thumb Expected to be out until at least Jul 16
7/8/2019 Max Kepler RF Knee Probable for Jul 12
7/8/2019 LaMonte Wade RF Thumb Expected to be out until at least Jul 17
7/8/2019 Willians Astudillo C Oblique Expected to be out until at least Jul 26
7/3/2019 Jake Odorizzi SP Finger Expected to be out until at least Jul 13
6/28/2019 Eddie Rosario LF Ankle Expected to be out until at least Jul 12
Key Cleveland Indians Injuries
7/8/2019 Carlos Carrasco SP Illness Expected to be out until at least Aug 15
7/2/2019 Dan Otero RP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 15
6/29/2019 Danny Salazar SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
6/27/2019 Jefry Rodriguez SP Shoulder Expected to be out until at least Jul 22
6/27/2019 Bradley Zimmer CF Side Expected to be out until at least Jul 19
6/25/2019 Corey Kluber SP Forearm Expected to be out until at least Jul 30
Useful Pitching Statistics
The Twins have a 56-33 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jake Odorizzi has a 10-4 record with an earned run average of 3.15 and a WHIP of 1.12 this season. He has 96 strikeouts over his 88.2 innings pitched and he's given up 69 hits. He's allowed 7 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.59. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.30 and they have given up 292 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .249 against the bullpen and they've struck out 311 hitters and walked 117 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.5 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.7 batters per nine innings. They are 6th in the league in team earned run average at 3.97. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 758 base hits and 356 earned runs. They have allowed 109 home runs this season, ranking them 24th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 255 batters and struck out 780. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.7 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.26 and their FIP as a unit is 4.11.
As a team Minnesota is hitting .272, good for 2nd in the league. The Twins hold a .497 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .336, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 2nd in MLB with 9.7 hits per game. Jorge Polanco is hitting .312 with an on-base percentage of .368. He has 111 hits this season in 356 at bats with 42 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .514 and an OPS+ of 133. Jonathan Schoop is hitting .260 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .311. He has totaled 75 hits and he has driven in 39 men in 288 at bats. His OPS+ is 104 while his slugging percentage is at .469. The Twins have 861 hits, including 188 doubles and 166 home runs. Minnesota has walked 270 times so far this season and they have struck out 715 times as a unit. They have left 614 men on base and have a team OPS of .833. They score 5.72 runs per contest and have scored a total of 509 runs this year.
Useful Pitching Statistics
Cleveland has a 50-38 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 3.61, Trevor Bauer has a 8-6 record and a 1.17 WHIP. He has 149 strikeouts over the 132 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 104 hits. He's allowing 7.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 4.1. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.48 and they have given up 257 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .241 against the Indians bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 283 batters and walked 87 opposing hitters. As a team, Cleveland allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.6 batters per nine innings. They are 5th in the league in team earned run average at 3.94. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 700 base knocks and 339 earned runs this season. They have given up 115 home runs this year, which ranks 20th in Major League Baseball. Cleveland as a staff has walked 245 hitters and struck out 828 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.6 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 4.09.
As a team, they are batting .244, good for 21st in the league. The Indians hold a .418 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .322, which is good for 17th in baseball. They rank 25th in MLB with 8.1 hits per contest. Carlos Santana comes into this matchup batting .297 with an OBP of .418. He has 93 hits this year along with 52 RBI in 313 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .540 with an OPS+ of 149. Francisco Lindor is hitting .296 this season and he has an OBP of .356. He has collected 84 hits in 284 at bats while driving in 32 runs. He has an OPS+ of 123 and a slugging percentage of .511. The Indians as a unit have 713 base hits, including 140 doubles and 115 homers. Cleveland has walked 319 times this year and they have struck out on 735 occasions. They have had 597 men left on base and have an OPS of .739. They have scored 4.5 runs per game and totaled 396 runs this season.
Who will win tonight's Twins/Indians MLB game against the spread?
Josh's Pick: Take the Twins +125
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