Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians Expert MLB Picks Against the Spread 9/13/2019

Friday, September 13, 2019

Progressive Field

Get todays MLB odds and lines on this game.

Probable Pitchers: Jake Odorizzi vs. Aaron Civale

Jorge Polanco and the Minnesota Twins (89-56, 1st in AL Central) are headed to Progressive Field on Friday where they'll meet the Cleveland Indians (86-61, 2nd in AL Central). The moneyline on this matchup has the Twins coming in at +117 and the Indians are at -127. The O/U has been set at 9.5.

The Twins have been very good for bettors, having gone 89-56-0 SU. Cleveland covers 58.5% of the time, going 86-61-0 straight up.

Valuable Minnesota Twins Betting Trends

The Twins have been a hot and cold Under pick for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 72-66-7.

The Twins cover 66.7% of the time as the away team, having gone 48-24-0 straight up.

Important Cleveland Indians Betting Trends

The Indians cover 59.7% of the time at Progressive Field, going 43-29-0 SU.

The Indians have been a hot and cold Over pick for over/under MLB wagerers, having gone 62-80-5.

Related: Gambling 101 - MLB Betting Tips - Tony George of Doc's Sports

Key Minnesota Twins Injuries

9/11/2019 Miguel Sano 3B Back Probable for Sep 12
9/11/2019 Jake Cave RF Groin Probable for Sep 12
9/11/2019 Max Kepler RF Shoulder Probable for Sep 12
9/10/2019 Byron Buxton CF Shoulder Out for the season
9/6/2019 Marwin Gonzalez RF Abdomen Expected to be out until at least Sep 18
9/6/2019 Sam Dyson RP Biceps Expected to be out until at least Sep 16
9/1/2019 Sean Poppen RP Elbow Out for the season

Key Cleveland Indians Injuries

9/11/2019 Brad Hand RP Arm Expected to be out until at least Sep 15
9/11/2019 Christian Arroyo 3B Elbow Expected to be out until at least Sep 24
9/7/2019 Corey Kluber SP Oblique Out for the season
9/6/2019 Danny Salazar SP Groin Out for the season
9/1/2019 Tyler Olson RP Infection Out for the season
9/1/2019 Tyler Naquin RF Knee Out for the season
9/1/2019 A.J RP Shoulder Out for the season
8/25/2019 Jose Ramirez 3B Hand Out for the season
7/12/2019 Cody Anderson RP Elbow Out for the season

Useful Pitching Statistics

The Twins have a 89-56 overall record this season. Starting pitcher Jake Odorizzi has a 14-6 record with an earned run average of 3.60 and a WHIP of 1.23 this season. He has 162 strikeouts over his 147.1 innings pitched and he's given up 130 hits. He's allowed 7.9 hits per 9 innings and he has a FIP of 3.54. The bullpen has an earned run average of 4.17 and they have given up 503 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .255 against the bullpen and they've struck out 524 hitters and walked 164 batters. As a team, Minnesota allows 8.9 hits per nine innings while striking out 8.8 batters per nine innings. They are 8th in the league in team earned run average at 4.15. The Twins pitchers collectively have given up 1,295 base hits and 605 earned runs. They have allowed 178 home runs this season, ranking them 27th in the league. Minnesota as a pitching staff has walked 405 batters and struck out 1,287. They have walked 2.8 men per 9 innings while striking out 8.8 per 9. They have a team WHIP of 1.30 and their FIP as a unit is 4.05.

Related: Get MLB tips & picks on all of today's games

Hitting Statistics

As a team Minnesota is hitting .270, good for 4th in the league. The Twins hold a .494 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .338, which is good for 6th in baseball. They rank 3rd in MLB with 9.6 hits per game. Jorge Polanco is hitting .299 with an on-base percentage of .361. He has 173 hits this season in 578 at bats with 74 runs batted in. He has a slugging percentage of .490 and an OPS+ of 124. Max Kepler is hitting .252 this year and he has an on-base percentage of .337. He has totaled 130 hits and he has driven in 90 men in 515 at bats. His OPS+ is 124 while his slugging percentage is at .522. The Twins have 1,386 hits, including 285 doubles and 277 home runs. Minnesota has walked 470 times so far this season and they have struck out 1,208 times as a unit. They have left 1,003 men on base and have a team OPS of .832. They score 5.79 runs per contest and have scored a total of 840 runs this year.

Useful Pitching Statistics

Cleveland has a 86-61 overall mark this year. With an earned run average of 1.93, Aaron Civale has a 3-3 record and a 1.05 WHIP. He has 38 strikeouts over the 46.2 innings he's pitched. He also has given up 37 hits. He's allowing 7.1 hits per nine innings and his FIP stands at 2.97. The bullpen has an earned run average of 3.61 and they have given up 427 base hits on the year. Teams are hitting .243 against the Indians bullpen. Their relievers have struck out 471 batters and walked 157 opposing hitters. As a team, Cleveland allows 8.1 hits per nine innings while striking out 9.5 batters per nine innings. They are 3rd in the league in team earned run average at 3.66. The Indians pitchers as a team have surrendered 1,174 base knocks and 532 earned runs this season. They have given up 185 home runs this year, which ranks 22nd in Major League Baseball. Cleveland as a staff has walked 413 hitters and struck out 1,374 batters. They give up a walk 2.8 times per 9 innings while they strike out 9.5 per 9. Their team WHIP is 1.22 while their FIP as a staff is 4.03.

Hitting Statistics

As a team, they are batting .251, good for 14th in the league. The Indians hold a .436 team slugging percentage and an on-base percentage of .325, which is good for 14th in baseball. They rank 20th in MLB with 8.4 hits per contest. Carlos Santana comes into this matchup batting .283 with an OBP of .402. He has 148 hits this year along with 87 RBI in 523 AB's. He maintains a slugging percentage of .535 with an OPS+ of 142. Francisco Lindor is hitting .296 this season and he has an OBP of .346. He has collected 159 hits in 538 at bats while driving in 70 runs. He has an OPS+ of 127 and a slugging percentage of .545. The Indians as a unit have 1,237 base hits, including 261 doubles and 205 homers. Cleveland has walked 515 times this year and they have struck out on 1,197 occasions. They have had 979 men left on base and have an OPS of .761. They have scored 4.74 runs per game and totaled 697 runs this season.

Who will win tonight's Twins/Indians MLB game against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take the Twins (+117)

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